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Pain-Ridden

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PAIN-RIDDEN

Weary palfrey, who is it kicks your hide
Stumbling along the way to journey’s end?
... footfalls darkening the wayside
As tones of all too early dusk descend?

Husbandry and horsemanship disapprove!
Broken beast, he has left it far too late:
He brings the whip to bear from loss of love
And growing distance from care's best estate.

Sharing anger, he rakes the bloody spur -
All honour lost - his heartlessness impressed
.. and you the mount must this disgrace endure
With scar rent flanks in faithfulness distressed.

How heavy then to bear the penalty
Of ridership with star-crossed cruelty?



Creating the World's Most Dangerous Man - Gods and Cherubs

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ALL THOSE SONS – PSYCHODRAMAS APLENTY

Mary L. Trump’s soon to be published book about her uncle Donald “Too Much and Never Enough: How My Family Created the World’s Most Dangerous Man” raises again an issue that many people grapple with – the influence of the presence, absence, interventions and qualities of parents.

And while it seems Mary, who is a clinical psychologist, makes some interesting ‘causative’ links between the formation of Trump’s character and his nurturing at the hands of his father Fred Trump Snr, questions immediately arise concerning the role of other influences on his behaviour and the ways in which his inherent nature has been suppressed or enhanced.

Why, for example, did Trump’s mother fail to ‘soften’ the influences of his father – and promote a more coherent and empathetic moral code? And what is it within Trump that made so easy for him to go-along with his father’s domination – and so reluctant to declare his independence and strike out on his own?

These kinds of conundrums have personal resonance for me – being a posthumous child of a universally liked and admired scholar and war hero – and the stepchild of a universally liked and admired yeoman farmer and community stalwart.

And in her review of Mary’s book, Karen Tumulty gives some interesting examples for cross-reference.

The quote with which I most identify concerns Bill Clinton:

For Clinton, the death of his father in a car accident three months before he was born explains both the first-of-his-generation urgency of his ambition and perhaps the recklessness of his private behavior. “My father left me with the feeling that I had to live for two people, and that if I did it well enough, somehow I could make up for the life he should have had,” Clinton wrote.

“And his memory infused me, at a younger age than most with a sense of my own mortality. The knowledge that I, too, could die young drove me both to try to drain the most out of every moment of life and to get on with the next big challenge. Even when I wasn’t sure where I was going, I was always in a hurry.”

As for mothers, it seems that both my mother and Trump’s mother Mary Anne MacLeod had similar responses to their sons in some respects – both remarking at one point to the effect ‘What Have I Bred? – in not entirely complimentary expostulations.

Ultimately though, one’s own life is one’s own – and we all have opportunities to change and grow as people.

That Trump has changed little and grown little in understanding and moral stature over his 73 years is perhaps the main take in his case – and one that suggests a pathology that is much more deep-seated and aberrant than it is the product of abuse.  


SEE:

The Trump father-son psychodrama
Karen Tumulty, Washington Post, 8 July 2020
July 8, 2020 at 10:10 a.m. GMT+12


SEE ALSO:

HE DECIDED TO LIVE FOREVER OR DIE IN THE ATTEMPT


HEROISM IN ITS MANY FORMS


BAD, DANGEROUS AND EXSANE?
https://kjohnsonnz.blogspot.com/2016/03/donald-trump-and-dark-tetrad.html






Philosophy and Disability: Every Moment is Precious

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Zhuangzi in walking meditation - Bodhidharma 'crossing a river on a reed'.


GLASS HALF FULL – GLASS HALF EMPTY – GLASS MID- BROKEN

As a Buddhist, I find it somewhat strange to have to remind contemporary American Philosophers about the teachings of Christianity on Disability. And I have John Altmann and Bryden Van Norden in mind here:


Was This Ancient Taoist the First Philosopher of Disability?
Zhuangzi pushed back against the idea that “normal” is good and difference is bad 2,500 years ago.
By John Altmann and Bryan W. Van Norden, New York Times, 8 July 2020.


Just to refresh - Jesus said unto him:

‘Thou shalt love the Lord thy God with all thy heart, and with all thy soul, and with all thy mind. This is the first and great commandment.

And the second is like unto it: Thou shalt love thy neighbour as thyself. On these two commandments hang all the law and the prophets.’

Which I would have thought immediately invalidates much of what our hard-ass philosophers have to say about the congruence of beauty with redemption and the justification of life through its utility. 

Particularly dangerous notions in the present times, it would seem, when ‘the $ Economy’ is being matched [erroneously in $ terms it is important to add] against Pandemic Control and the human deaths likely to result from rampant Covid-19.

Of course, it seems pretty obvious that Western Society has fairly recently abandoned the Christianity taught by Jesus in favour of either an atheistic ‘Greed is Good Materialism’ or a ‘Prosperity Gospel’ based on Old Testament notions of a covenant of tangible returns in the form of wealth or real estate in reward for Blind Faith [much more the stuff of US evangelicals who are promised a day-to-day paradise of milk and honey].

That said our philosophers insist that it is a long-established 'given' in the West that ‘it is inherently bad to be disabled’:

examples go as far back as ancient Greece. The linking of virtue and beauty with “normality” appears in Plato’s account of Socrates’ dialogue with Crito, in which Socrates asserts that “the good life, the beautiful life and the just life are the same” and that life is not “worth living with a body that is corrupted and in bad condition.”

Plato’s student Aristotle later argued explicitly in “Politics” that “no deformed child should be raised,” but should instead be left to die of exposure. Islamic, Jewish and Christian philosophers later found Aristotle’s normative conception of human nature congenial to the mainstream Abrahamic traditions:

The ideal form of the human being exists in the mind of God, who “created man in his own image”; differences or variations from this norm are to be considered deviant. It is not coincidental that the Bible asserts that one may not become a priest if they are “a blind man, or a lame … or a man that is brokenfooted, or brokenhanded, or crookbackt, or a dwarf, or that hath a blemish in his eye.” 

(Leviticus 21:18-20 KJV.)

Though for those who remain of the Christian ‘Christians’, it is surely axiomatic that ‘Man’ in all his physical forms and manifestations was made in the Image of God – a God that is truly universal.

That I should have to so much state the obvious is a dreadful reflection on the Descent of Western Culture into Barbarism.

Which brings me to Altmann and Van Norden’s claim that the 4th Century BC Chinese Sage ‘Zhuangzi’, [also known as Zhuang Zhou] was the origin of the notion that Virtue takes No Form – a notion needing contemporary rediscovery.

Which is a little perplexing to Buddhists.

Some two hundred years before Zhuangzi was born, the young Prince Siddhartha escaped the closeting imposed by his father, who wished to protect him from the dissonance between form and virtue. In his wandering, he saw three of the "ugliest" facts of life: an "old man staggering on crutches," a diseased person with "crooked limbs," and a shroud-covered corpse."

And being profoundly despondent that suffering that is part and parcel of human life: through sickness, aging and death, he left his father’s palace and sought a remedy for human suffering. Eventually, through contemplation, he became reconciled to the inevitability of suffering, realizing that there was no end to old age and death and that, regardless of the timing of ‘disability’, it came to all living beings as they neared the end of their lives.

Perhaps Altmann and Van Norden have forgotten that we all grow old – or perhaps they agree with many US Republicans and their President that any trade-offs in Covid-19 Control Policy between the $ Economy and excess premature deaths among the aged should be resolved in favour of the dollar.

But time conquers all – and our opportunities to awaken and manifest compassion are limited.

As the Thai Buddhist Ajahn Chah commented:

You see glass? For me, this it is already broken. I enjoy it. I drink out of it. It holds my water admirably, sometimes even reflecting the sun in beautiful patterns. But when the wind knocks it over or my elbow brushes it off the table and it shatters, I say 'Of course.' When I understand that this glass was already broken, every moment with it is precious.

And in a world that seems increasingly broken, the West needs the Ancient East in plenty.

So in addition to Buddha, Zhuangzi, and Ajahn Chah, consulting ‘Bodhidharma’ is no bad idea.

Bodhidharma was a most gloriously grouchy but charismatic Buddhist missionary. He was a 6th Century Afghan or Persian who became known to the Chinese as the Blue-eyed Barbarian. In a fit of compassionate dudgeon, he tramped across the Hindu Kush to the Middle Kingdom to confront the Emperor Wu with the Chan or Zen Buddhist teachings.

I have summarised and versified his ‘Four Essential Practices’ as follows:

Practice of Retribution of Enmity
Having given up the fundamental
And followed the superficial
I have engendered much injustice
The evil of my past calamities has ripened
And I have left behind limitless harm:
Therefore I accept my sufferings.

Practice of Acceptance of Circumstances
The changing seas of circumstances
Have brought forth consequences:
Everything that is desirable will fail
And all joys are transient.
Therefore I seek a steady mind
Without increase or decrease

Practice of Non-craving
To be attached to things is delusion
I will try to rest my heart and ask for nothing
All existences are empty
Both merits and darkness follow in step.
I will set fire to the house
And find calm in the ruins.

Practice of Abiding by the Dharma
Though the self stains sentient beings
Instances are emptied by non-clinging.
There is no self in the dharma:
I will practice without miserliness
I will practice with generosity
I will practice without hesitation and regret.

All of which suggests that any Brave New World that arises from the ashes of our current catastrophes should be reality-based, deeply-reflected, far-sighted and self-less. 

And that in the absence of seeking enlightenment and practising compassion, it matters little whether the glass is half empty or half full - as it is inevitably fumbled to a fall.



Some Limericks for Melania and Donald Trump

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SOME LIMERICKS FOR MELANIA AND DONALD


Pity Melania Trump
Who was sculpted out of a stump:
This rough-cut clump
Was wooden to hump
And came down to earth with a thump.

O beauteous Melania
Our modern Cytherea:
An Aphrodite
In a rough-bark nightie
Become our sylvan Galatea.

Pygmalion searches the bare-trunked trees,
Getting wood from boles he sees:
He comes, he saws, he chops
And falls in love with what he lops -
Chipping ‘such a dryad's not so hard to please’.

A girl called Melania from Slovenia
[A frontier forest or so from Transylvania]:
Was naughtier than Little Red Riding Hood
And turned a few tricks in the wood -
Winding up notching 1600 Pennsylvania!

The woodman saw a pussy up a tree,
No finer judge of cougar cats than he:
He had no need of love - just power -
Knowing that for him the good grew sour -
And so he carved a wooden kitty – isn’t she pretty?



Zuckerberg: The Sugar Candy Mountain behind Trump?

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Zuckerberg Never Fails to Disappoint

'He cannot hold on to such enormous power and avoid responsibility when things get tough'.

By Kara Swisher, New York Times, 10 July 2020

[Zuckerberg is a German surname meaning 'Sugar Candy Mountain' ]


Comrade Trumpoleon

Collapsageddon and a 'Blood-bath-shaped Depression'?

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‘THE LABOR MARKET IS A RUIN’

After the fastest recession in U.S. history, the economic recovery may be fizzling
By David J. Lynch, Washington Post, 12 July 2020


United Airlines announced plans to lay off more than one-third of its 95,000 workers. Brooks Brothers, which first opened for business in 1818, filed for bankruptcy. And Bed Bath and Beyond said it will close 200 stores.

Welcome to the recovery.

If there were still hopes of a “V-shaped” comeback from the novel coronavirus shutdown, this past week should have put an end to them. The pandemic shock, which economists once assumed would be only a temporary business interruption, appears instead to be settling into a traditional, self-perpetuating recession.

When states and cities began closing most businesses in March, the idea was to smother the virus and buy time for the medical system to adapt. Jared Kushner, the president’s son-in-law and a senior White House adviser, spoke of hopes “that by July the country’s really rocking again.”

But without a uniform federal strategy, many governors rushed to reopen their economies before bringing the virus under control. Now states such as Florida, California, Texas and Arizona are setting daily records for coronavirus cases and more than 70 percent of the country has either paused or reversed reopening plans, according to Goldman Sachs.

After two surprisingly strong months, the economy could begin shedding jobs again this month and in August, Morgan Stanley warned Friday. Many small businesses that received forgivable government loans have exhausted their funds while some larger companies are starting to thin their payrolls in preparation for a longer-than-expected downturn.

Fresh labor market weakness would represent a profound disappointment for millions of American workers and President Trump, who is eager to highlight economic progress with only a few months remaining before the November election.

“ ‘Stalling’ is the word I’m using,” said Jim O’Sullivan, chief U.S. macro strategist for TD Ameritrade. “But the risk there is that the numbers start turning negative again.”

Several regional Federal Reserve officials last week expressed concerns about the recovery petering out. Raphael Bostic, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, warned that economic activity “is starting to level off.” Thomas Barkin, who heads the Richmond Fed, cited “air pockets” in new business orders.

At the White House on Friday, however, the president insisted that his plans were on track.

“I created the greatest economy we’ve ever had. And now we’re creating it again,” he said before leaving for Florida.

A day earlier, he told a group of Hispanic leaders he had launched “the fastest economic comeback in history.”

The economy did regain a total of 7.5 million jobs in May and June, faster than many economists anticipated. But that was just one-third of the number lost to the pandemic.

In a worrisome sign, more than two months after states like Georgia lifted their shelter-in-place orders, layoffs are spreading beyond companies that provide services requiring direct human contact. As disruption from the pandemic lingers, this could mean that the job loss is starting to feed on itself in a classic recessionary spiral, economists said.

Harley-Davidson last week said it was eliminating 700 jobs as part of a restructuring plan it described as unrelated to fallout from the pandemic. In April, the company said: “The crisis has provided an opportunity to reevaluate every aspect of our business and strategic plan. We have determined that we need to make significant changes to the company."

Indeed, the pandemic, which marked an abrupt end to a nearly 11-year expansion, is prompting companies to rethink their operations and to trim fat that accumulated while the economy was growing. Wells Fargo, the nation’s fourth-largest bank, is drawing up plans to cut “tens of thousands” of jobs later this year, according to a Bloomberg News report.

“While the timing seems to coincide with the stalling of the economic reopening process in over 30 states, there may well be something more strategic in play — that is, pressure on a growing segment of corporate America to ‘right size’ for what increasingly looks like a longer road back to full economic recovery,” said Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz, via email.

The unemployment rate never reached the Depression-caliber level of 20 percent that many economists had feared in March, topping out so far at 14.7 percent. But layoffs that initially were described as a temporary response to a health crisis are hardening into something more permanent, leaving millions of workers scrambling to regain their footing in a changed economy.

The labor market remains a ruin. First-time claims for unemployment benefits have exceeded the previously unheard of figure of 1 million for 16 consecutive weeks.

Including a new program for freelancers and gig economy workers affected by the pandemic, weekly claims are rising. Almost 33 million Americans now are collecting some form of unemployment benefits, according to Morgan Stanley.

Even allowing for some double-counting in the figures, that means nearly 20 percent of those who were working in February are now jobless, according to economist Julia Coronado, president of Macropolicy Perspectives.

It is no longer a question of returning to the pre-pandemic environment that existed as recently as four months ago, economists said. Under the remorseless influence of the pandemic, the U.S. economy is being reshaped. There will be fewer jobs in airlines, hotels, restaurants and traditional retail and more in e-commerce and technology industries.

Shifting workers from fading industries to the handful that are experiencing rising sales will not happen quickly. During the Great Recession, which began in December 2007, it took nearly 10 years for the unemployment rate to fall back to its 4.4 percent low.

For Levi Strauss, booming online sales were not enough to offset the impact of the closure of most of its retail outlets in March and April. The company said last week it would lay off 700 workers, aiming to trim quarterly expenses by $100 million.

“Businesses have to be conservative and cautious and resize their business for the worst-case scenario of an economy that doesn’t bounce back,” said Coronado. “We’re now seeing the normal recession dynamics we were trying to avoid.”

As the virus has raged longer than first expected, some companies are concluding that they just don’t need as many workers as they did in February, said Heidi Shierholz, former chief economist at the Labor Department.

“These are more of a normal recession layoff. It definitely has a more permanent feel to it,” said Shierholz, now with the Economic Policy Institute.

Employment and spending data suggest the recovery sagged after June 22. The number of people telling government researchers they were not working rose in each of the past two weeks, climbing by more than 1.4 million, according to an experimental Census Bureau survey of American households.

Likewise, consumers appear to have grown more cautious over the same period, according to Jesse Edgerton, an economist with JPMorgan Chase. Citing data from 30 million credit and debit card files, he noted “a modest pullback” in spending across all states, not just those where the virus had flared anew.

“Spending has begun to flatten out at a somewhat lower level than the peak seen on June 22,” Edgerton wrote in a note to clients.

Millions of additional layoffs could come soon from cash-strapped state and local governments, unless Congress provides additional relief, and small businesses that have exhausted their borrowing under the Paycheck Protection Program. In a survey of its members, the National Federation of Independent Business said more than half of respondents had used up their loans and 22 percent planned to lay off workers as a result.

“As owners finish using their loan, more are finding that economic conditions are unable to support current staffing levels which were previously supported by the PPP loan,” the industry group said.

None of this means that the economy is destined to repeat its sickening March plunge. But many economists expect what Rubeela Farooqi of High-Frequency Economics calls a “stop-and-go recovery” that will advance or retreat depending upon public health.

Nowhere is that clearer than in doubts about whether schools will operate normally this fall. The president insists the nation has no choice but to resume instruction for millions of students, both for their benefit and to enable parents to return to their jobs. But with coronavirus cases soaring just weeks before the first bells are scheduled to ring, it is not clear whether that will be practical.

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Thursday that he was “highly optimistic” about a coronavirus vaccine by the end of the year. But the economy can’t wait for a cure. Individual and government efforts to blunt the pandemic’s spread must intensify to prevent a deeper or extended downturn, economists said.

“I don’t think any of us think we’ll get the economy back to 100 percent before there’s a medical answer,” said James Glassman, JPMorgan Chase’s head economist for commercial banking. “The longer it goes on, the more damage it does."



Wellington's No-Mystery Bus Ride to Irrelevance

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WELLINGTON: ON THE BUS TO NOWHERE WITH HALF-ASLEEP DRIVERS

What do you do when you are on a bus to nowhere when the driver is asleep at the wheel and the other passengers are shouting you down when you try to wake him [or her] up?

This is more or less the situation that I found myself in 2016 when I stood as a Wellington City Mayoral Candidate in 2016, in a desperate attempt to flag some of the major policy issues that beset the city that I love so much.

Not aided I might add by some condescension and piss-taking by mainstream journos like Nikki Macdonald and Dave Armstrong [apparently any concern on my part for the public good might be interpreted alternatively as hubris by a superannuated nobody – and who really cares if I am slanderously accused of being a Neoliberal!].

I still follow local politics, strictly as an observer, and weep figuratively into my morning coffee – and I shed yet more phantom tears this morning when it was ‘revealed’ that internationally mobile, high earning young professionals in high-end IT-related industries are shunning Wellington because of the high cost of housing and its lousy and long-neglected infrastructure.

No surprises here!

Wake up You Bastards! Do you really want those of our kids who remain to all work as metaphorical shoe-shine boys for cruise ship passengers – or do you have any remnant aspirations whatsoever about what they and our wonderful city should become? That rather than being a twee and ‘boutique’ bolt-hole and airport mall venue for the wealthy – it should become a young, edgy place where ideas thrive and up-to-the-minute opportunities are made and taken to help build a better world?

SEE: 

Few skilled workers want to come to world's coolest little capital - report
Damian George and Andre Chumko, NZ Stuff, 13 July 2020

We are meant to be the coolest little capital in world, so why do so many young professionals say they don’t want to move to Wellington?
...

A report based on feedback from law, accounting, technology, and engineering firm representatives, and highlighted a number of worries the sector had. The report said many private sector firms were already looking to downsize in the CBD.

The industry leaders have now called on the council to create a “persuasive positive impression” of Wellington as a city open for business, by fixing infrastructure problems, progressing major projects, and increasing resilience. One industry leader said: “If you can work from home ... there are places easier to buy a house and have a good lifestyle than Wellington.”

...

MY TAKES:


WELLINGTON BUSINESS COMMUNITY [WECC] AND WELLINGTON CITY COUNCIL [WCC] NEED WAKE-UP ON ICT OPPORTUNITIES

I went along to the yesterday to make a presentation to the IT Start Up community [hosted by Creative HQ] as part of my mayoral campaign, having previously called in at the Wellington BizDojo space which provides IT-related co-working facilities:


I am very supportive of the IT Start Up community and would like to see the development of a much more definite and comprehensive 10 Year Plan with much augmented funding by Wellington City Council and local business networks.

When Wellington City Council put forward its 8 Big Ideas to Get Wellington Moving, a ‘tech precinct’ was given third priority after the combined Conference Centre – Movie Museum and the Wellington Airport Runway Extension.

However, the differences in the scale of funding are glaring.

The Conference Centre – Movie Museum has been allocated $150 million, and $90 million has been earmarked for the Runway Extension [with undisclosed potential liabilities which could be much greater].

The ‘tech precinct’ has been given a total contribution of NZ$ 3.2 million spread over three years.

The contrast points up once again the tendency for the Council to favour established businesses in the Hospitality, Tourism, Retail and Property Development sectors of the economy at the comparative expense of Knowledge-based, Creative, High Tech Innovative enterprises.

This is a trend which also benefits those who are already well-heeled [Peter Jackson has a personal fortune estimated at $450 million plus and WIAL’s owner Infratil has assets of $2.5 billion and regularly makes returns of 19 percent per annum]. This kind of favoritism clearly also exacerbates income and wealth inequalities.

I asked my audience to imagine what could be done in the IT Start Up sector if it was given, or even loaned, a decent slice of the $240 million that is going to the Conference Centre – Museum and Airport Runway Extension projects?

Not surprisingly, at our meeting, there was widespread blow-back about the lack of understanding of the IT Start Up Sector among councillors and council officers. This is what the current blurb says:

Idea 3: A tech precinct
One of the critical conditions for success in high-tech industries is the opportunity for people to connect with each other, sharing knowledge and ideas, investment and pathways to international markets. A CBD tech precinct would offer opportunities to foster growth in high-tech companies and encourage connections between creatives, business people, investors and the education sector. The objective of the precinct is to put in place the kind of environment that will give small start-ups the tools and networks to grow. Companies like Xero show the huge potential that exists in this space.

But Wellington is getting nowhere in relative terms, with its chicken-feed funding. It does not figure in the Wikipedia list of technology centres in Oceania for example [nor do any other centres in New Zealand for that matter]:


The amounts of money going into these kinds of initiatives elsewhere are mind-boggling.

Hong Kong for example has budgeted US$ 1 billion plus for its Hong Kong Science and Technology Parks (HKSTP) which are home to more than 580 technology players. Companies based at the HKSTP are primarily involved in the following sectors: (1) biotechnology, (2) electronics, (3) green technology, (4) IT and telecommunications, and (5) precision engineering [and their interaction and mutual sparking of synergy and innovation].

Construction work on Phase III of the HKSTP was completed in April 2016. The development represents an investment of US$ 640 million by the Hong Kong government and is intended to boost the development of green technology in the city, as well as to attract high-tech investment from private companies.  It can accommodate about 150 green technology companies and create 4,000 research and development positions of green technology in the territory.


Are we being bamboozled by rip-off rent-seeking from parasitic sunset service industries that is depriving us of a High Tech future? Are we creating Mac-Jobs for our young people as baristas, bar-tenders and various kinds of escorts when we could be creating a high-tech future that brings the world to us on a screen rather than a plane?

You might very well ask – but I could not possibly comment. I will though continue to Try to Put a Bit of Stick About’.

My responses to the Wellington Chamber of Commerce Mayoral Candidate Questionnaire 2016 are given below

 [you can catch up with the answers given by the other Mayoral Candidates at:
Response from Keith Johnson: Wellington Chamber of Commerce Mayoral Candidate Questionnaire 2016

Overview

1.       What is your vision for Wellington?

Wellington’s people are its greatest asset, and its layout and compact form encourage collaboration – we need above all to build on these strengths. We need to encourage entrepreneurs and young professionals and assist them by promoting affordable housing and top-class urban infrastructure, while keeping down costs [especially by containing residential rates and the accumulation of debt by WCC]. Most of all, it is vital that we continue to promote Wellington as a warm and friendly place that is highly liveable and offers a wide range   of entertainment and cultural options.
2.       How would you ensure that Wellington City is business-friendly?

I do not accept that all businesses are equal in terms of their contributions to the welfare and future prosperity of the city. I write widely on my magazine website ‘Keith Johnson Wellington NZ’ where I have expressed scepticism of the way in which the hospitality, tourism, retail and property development sectors appear to secure special assistance from WCC, while little appears to be done to support the development of knowledge-based industries like tertiary education, ICT, design, innovative manufacturing, and cultural and arts activities. I would be especially receptive to initiatives from the latter, less so to those from the former.

3.       Would you make any changes to the Long Term Plan 2015/25?

I would take out the provisional allocation of $90 million for the Wellington Airport Runway Extension for starters – to me this smacks of special pleading for the subsidy of a private profit-making enterprise by residential ratepayers. I would initiate a thoroughgoing review of ‘Other Expenditures’ [which cover the proposed capital investments in the ‘8 Big Ideas’ / Big Spend Programme, in the light of the current strength of the Wellington economy, as it was initiated in response to a temporary downturn in 2013. I would also review allocations for the maintenance and renewal of core infrastructure facilities and eliminate deferred maintenance. I would initiate proper project appraisal [including business case analysis] and monitoring for all capital investment projects. I would end the use of covert special development funds and ensure open tendering and full disclosure for all contracts.
4.       Please list three to five key issues that you consider need addressing by the council over the next three years.

1.       Controlling the overall growth in spending, restraining rate rises, eliminating any further rebalancing of rates rises in favour of the business sector at the expense of residential ratepayers, and ending the accumulation of debt [currently set to rise to over $800 million by 2025].

2.       Solving [or at least seriously starting to solve] Wellington’s inner city transport woes.
I propose the participatory negotiation of a multi-interest / multi-modal 25-year horizon Transport Accord, using a co-design approach. I envisage that this will result in an agreed approach to developing the State Highway 1   corridor from the Terrace Tunnel to the Airport; substantial traffic calming and pedestrianization in the CBD; and the continued development of a network of cycle-ways. I could also lead to initial planning for a rapid transit – light rail link from Wellington Railway Station to the Airport [in the meantime emphasis would be given to improving the service quality and environmental characteristics of bus services].

3.                    I oppose the Wellington Airport Runway Extension project and will rescind WCC’s $90 million commitment to the proposal.

4.                   Affordable housing and social housing will be key priorities. For example, I would be keen to re-allocate the $90 million saved on the Runway Extension Project to social housing by making good the loss of #120 units that were lost when HNZ’s Gordon Wilson Flats were red-stickered as earthquake endangered. I would ensure that development contributions are made for affordable housing [for first time buyers] in all major projects [e.g. the Mt Crawford and Erskine College developments].

5.                   I will ensure that all capital projects pass rigorous economic, business case, equity and environmental scrutiny - and that subsequent implementation, as with all council works and services, is undertaken cost-effectively.

Leadership
               
5.       What’s you leadership style – how will you lead council and how would you motivate councillors to work together?

I do not believe that Wellingtonians need or want Visionary Leadership built around flashy big ticket spending. Our citizens are practical, creative and independent-minded and more than capable of shaping their own futures, given cost-effective basic services. I have been described as a ‘Typical Wellingtonian’ which I take as a great compliment – my campaign motto is ‘Caring about Costs: Caring about People’ [i.e. as Nikki Macdonald has commented in the Dom ‘Policy + Poetry’]. I want to get councillors back to work in delivering efficient facilities and supporting grass-roots community initiatives. I will reward them for doing the basics well.
6.       How will you allocate council portfolios – equally amongst councillors or based on councillor’s skill set and capability?

By skill set and capability.
7.       How will you work with other councils in the region?

I would put a good deal of effort into working effectively with the other councils in the region – it is clearly a single economy and Wellington City owes some responsibility to the outlying parts of the region in ensuring their continued prosperity and growth. I was very upset to learn that a large proportion of teenagers in disadvantaged areas like Cannon’s Creek have never visited the CBD and would work hard to ensure that Wellington City is seen as a good-hearted neighbour [e.g. by inviting in kids and initiating dialogues with interested communities / community groups in the wider region].

Rates

8.      Do you support the use of differential rates, whereby all business ratepayers pay more than residential ratepayers per dollar of rateable land? (The differential is 1:2.8)

YES  [See response to Question 9].

9.       Do you think it’s justifiable that Wellington city businesses pays the highest rates in New Zealand? If so, why? (Currently 46% of the total rate-take, while making up 21% of the rateable property. This includes general rates, targeted rates and business-specific levies)

I have been trying to track down some comparative figures for relative business rates burdens across local government areas in New Zealand but so far I have found nothing to substantiate WECC’s claim of unique hardship.

The problem for WECC is that many of its members in the tourism, hospitality, retail and property development sectors are direct beneficiaries of the kinds of Big Ideas / Big Spend ‘Wish List and Lolly Scramble’ promises of the Mainstream Mayoral Candidates – so, to keep these sectors happy, WECC has to try to load further burdens on Residential Ratepayers.

Let’s just explore one of the many ironies here. Mainstream candidate Jo Coughlan has chided Residential Ratepayers and those [like me] who champion their cause in restricting their rate rises.  Jo argues that: ‘Council spending, as reflected in the rates burden, is minuscule in the average household budget, being the equivalent of no more than the cost of a cup of coffee per day’.

Ergo, if this is true [it’s not – and rates are a particular burden on poorer householders and first-time buyers – but let’s leave these points for another day], the Business Community of Wellington is buying Two Cups of Coffee per day [+ a biscotti] – hardly worth crying into your Latte Froth about!

And it’s also important to remember that:

Rates are a tax deductible expense for businesses – so that one of their coffees or so in every three comes essentially free

Much of the demand for CBD property comes from central government – again funded indirectly by general tax payers.

And as a friend of mine said with some anger recently: "Why should residential rate payers make any contribution whatsoever to projects like the proposed film museum [where presumably they will also have to pay an entrance user-charge fee] or the convention centre and airport runway extension projects which primarily benefit foreigners, and promoters in the tourism, hospitality, retail and property development sectors?”

10.   What are your views on the council’s use of debt to fund projects?

Debt is a tax on the younger generation – and young people are already bearing the cost of the dismantling of state support for higher education [and the accompanying student loan burden] while the older generation benefits from relatively high central government spending on superannuation and health services. I am totally against further expanding debt levels.
11.   Do you think the council has an appropriate level of debt?

It should be reduced if possible but provision needs to be made for the responsible financing of capital spending that is already in train.

Ingredients/Economic Development

12.   What initiatives would you promote to grow Wellington City/Region’s GDP?

‘Growth’ can be a simple-minded concept that benefits the few at the cost of the welfare of the many. On all developments, we need to constantly ask:
·         Are they properly targeted [effective] and will they be well-implemented and managed [efficient]?
·         Are they fair? Do they benefit a wide spectrum of citizens impartially or are they responding to special interests?
·         Are they socially and environmentally responsible? Do they look to the longer term interests of the city and its citizens?

That said and done, I will be open to considering any and all proposals from well-meaning and good-hearted project promoters.
13.   What do you define as core or strategic assets of council?

The 2002 Local Government Act 2002 states that the purpose of local government is:

  •          To enable democratic local decision-making and action by, and on behalf of, communities
  •          To meet the current and future needs of communities for good-quality local infrastructure, local public services and performance of regulatory functions in a way that is most cost-effective for households and businesses.
I will implement the Act [and, with respect to the first point, ensure the development of a much more effective and comprehensive and interactive WCC website to facilitate public participation].
14.   Please list three things you would do to attract investment or to attract businesses to set up, relocate or expand in the city/region.

I have spent my career working as a development economist and public policy adviser and would bring my skills and experience to bear on attracting the right kinds and magnitudes of investment. In particular, I spent a good deal of my early and mid-career working in the Middle East and Asia [latterly working for 7 years as an economist and then senior development policy officer with the Asian Development Bank based in Manila, Philippines working on project planning and policy reform issues] and I would use my knowledge and contacts to promote Wellington’s business profile and attract foreign direct investment. I would diversify interest, for example, towards a range of emerging economies in Asia and not put all our eggs in a Chinese basket. I also spent 7 years in Canberra and would promote greater links with our twin sister city, as well as using my UK background and experience to promote links to Europe. I have a very cosmopolitan and open mindset on business opportunities and would emphasize e-networking with potential overseas partners.

Infrastructure

15.   What are your priorities for infrastructural investment in the Wellington region over the next five to ten years?

1.    Up-to-date physical maintenance and well-planned basic infrastructure asset replacement and the provision of all necessary upgrading to provide security of service and resilience in the case of natural disasters.
2.    Active support for the adoption and widespread provision of the latest / most cost-effective Information Communication Technology and its application across all sectors of the economy.

16.   Do you support the runway extension at Wellington Airport? If so, how do you think it should funded?

I have written widely about this topic on my website ‘Keith Johnson Wellington NZ’ and have been a long-standing opponent of the project and its proposed subsidization by residential ratepayers.

To me it is utterly extraordinary and potentially catastrophically dangerous to plan to fly in planeloads of tourists from Guangzhou non-stop and land them on a runway which will still not meet recommended standards for Runway Extension Safety Areas [the norm is 210 metres either end – WIAL proposes 90 metres], especially when Wellington can experience gale-force winds on up to 250 days per year.

The idea that residential ratepayers should subsidize this folly, when WIAL has already completed a shorter extension over the southern perimeter road at its own cost and when it admits that its own business case for the project falls well short of commercial viability, is bizarre and monstrously unfair.
        17.   Please list three initiatives or projects you would support to improve public transport in Wellington.

As previously stated, I propose the participatory negotiation of a multi-interest / multi-modal 25-year horizon Transport Accord, using a co-design approach.

I envisage that this will result in an agreed approach to developing the State Highway 1 corridor from the Terrace Tunnel to the Airport; substantial traffic calming and pedestrianization in the CBD; and the continued development of a network of cycle-ways. I could also lead to initial planning for a rapid transit – light rail link from Wellington Railway Station to the Airport [in the meantime emphasis would be given to improving the service quality and environmental characteristics of bus services].

I have written and recommended a ‘Swiss-style’ bus service which involves buses running at 10 minute intervals on all major routes – this is becoming more feasible with self-drive vehicles and the development of eco-friendly / electric technology. I want to see the end of big ‘cattle trucks’ and the advent of a large fleet of smaller and technologically smarter people carriers.
18.   What initiatives or projects would you suggest to improve business resilience in the city?

See my answers to Questions 15 and 19.
19.   In the event of major shocks or stresses, how would you ensure business would return or stay in Wellington?

Having low levels of debt and well-maintained infrastructure are vital to both current prosperity and resilience. I am concerned that, in the event of major natural disaster shocks [tsunami, earthquake etc.] and economic downturns [like a re-run or even greater global disruption than the 2008 Great Recession], Wellington would be unable to pick itself up, given the accumulation of debt [which stems in part from the ‘8 Big Ideas’ programme and would be much accentuated by the rash promises on capital projects that are being made by the other mayoral candidates]. Physical and Financial resilience need to run hand in hand.


Posted 24th September 2016 by Keith Shorrocks Johnson


MAYORAL CANDIDATE KEITH JOHNSON’S POLICIES ON HOUSING IN WELLINGTON

General Statement: Greater Opportunities for Collective Social Housing

My Background

My career has encompassed over 30 years of direct involvement in project planning, project economics and public policy, with work in 27 different countries. I hold a BA/MA in Geography from the University of Cambridge, UK and a PhD in Economic Geography from the Australian National University in Canberra.

My doctoral thesis focussed on the economic evaluation of a major road investment programme [the ‘Beef Roads Program’] in the Northern Territory.

I have worked as a member of staff for the UK Department of Economic Affairs [on regional development[, for the multi-disciplinary engineering company Dar Al-Handasah [on regional planning and project planning in the Middle East and Nigeria], for the Project Planning Centre for Developing Countries at the University of Bradford [lecturing on regional and infrastructure project planning], for the Asian Development Bank in Manila, Philippines [conducting economic research on project evaluation techniques and developing operational policies and travelling widely in Asia], as a Senior Analyst with Housing New Zealand Corporation and for the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research [conducting project and policy consulting assignments which include a report on the development of a private sector housing project at Brooklyn Heights, Wellington].

I am still involved in writing on housing issues. See [for example]:

MAJOR ARTICLE

Exploring the Optimum Mix for Social Housing in New Zealand

SELECTION OF RECENT ARTICLES ON HOUSING-RELATED ISSUES PUBLISHED ON THE WEB


Damp Homes – Dumb Policy

The Economics of the Proper Maintenance of Social Housing

NZ Housing – Fright is No Solution

Negative Gearing in Housing Tax Reform




On the Integrity of Economists – and Introducing a Land Tax


Leaky Buildings and Leaky Finances

RESPONSES TO THE QUESTIONS ASKED BY RENTERS UNITED

[Renters United is a membership organisation formed in 2014 to campaign for a better deal for renters in Wellington. We are contacting you are you have announced you are running for Mayor.
As part of our efforts we will soon be launching a campaign to coincide with the council elections to encourage more renters to register and vote in the elections, and to give renters better information about which candidates across Wellington are offering what for renters].

1. Wellington City Council has declared its intention to introduce a rental Warrant of Fitness [WOF]. Do you support the introduction of a rental WOF? If so, how will you go about its introduction?

I support the introduction of a rental WOF system – there are far too many dreadfully maintained properties and exploitative landlords around and the evidence linking poor quality damp housing with bad health [especially among children] is incontrovertible.

In results from a WSM Healthy Housing WOF pre-test, of 144 houses that were assessed, only eight (6%) passed the WOF.

The top five reasons for failing the rental housing WOF checklist · 40% of houses did not pass the water temperature check. · 38% of houses did not pass the security stays check. · 37% of houses did not pass the check for having a fixed form of heating. · 31% of houses did not pass the check for having handrails or balustrades that meet the Building Code Standards. · 30% of houses did not pass the check for not having working smoke alarms.

The Report noted that introduction was feasible with inspections costing $200 - $300 per house, and would be unlikely to raise rents or reduce supply, but noted the need for training programmes for assessors.

2. Are there any other steps you would you do to improve the health, quality and safety of rental homes in Wellington?

Not at present but I am open to suggestions.

3. How would you address homelessness in Wellington?

We have lost 110 – 120 flats which used to be available with the red-stickering of HNZ’s Gordon Wilson Flats. The Council must make good this shortfall [hopefully with help from Central Government]. This would be a good way of using the $90 million that would be saved by NOT contributing ratepayer cash to the private sector for the Wellington Airport Runway Extension project.

4. Do you support the building of additional council housing and if so how much housing should be built in the next council term?

Yes - see above.

5. Are there other measures you would take to increase the supply of quality rental housing in Wellington?

We need to increase the supply of Affordable and Social Housing in general. I would like to see Development Contributions for Social Housing used selectively for large-scale developments [e.g. development of the Mt Crawford – Shelly Bay sites].

6. What do you think are the main reasons rents in Wellington are increasing? How would you ensure rents in Wellington are affordable?

Inadequate supply is clearly a factor in the cost of housing in general and making more land available for development through improved physical planning is needed. We need a two-pronged approach which first aims to encourage home ownership – and we need to foster mixed rent-to-own approaches delivered through Housing Associations.

7. Many renters face discrimination on the basis of their gender, family status, age and ethnicity and when trying to find a home in Wellington. What steps would you take to address this?

Any kind of discrimination is unacceptable – offenders should be named and shamed.

8. Do you support dedicated tenant advocacy services to balance the influence of landlords and rental agents? If so, how should these be funded? 

I would certainly give these kinds of suggestions a sympathetic hearing and ask for advice on them.

9. Would you take steps to tackle persistent bad landlords who do not meet their obligations to renters?

With a WOF system in place, offending landlords could be barred [just as cars cannot be sold or leased out without WOF coverage].

10. How would you ensure renting is more stable / secure?

Again, the WOF system would do much to help.

11. Do you have any other policies that you believe will have a particular impact on improving renting for renters in Wellington?

Over the long-run, we need to stop the slide in home ownership which is being encouraged by the tax breaks that can be accessed by multi-property owners – but this is a long-standing national problem. One way WCC might be able to help is in assisting Older People in relocating from single-family homes to more suitable accommodation, thereby releasing housing to first-time and collective buyers.


Posted 22nd September 2016 by Keith Shorrocks Johnson



BY NIKKI MACDONALD
Last updated 05:00, August 29 2016
Photo Ross Giblin
Wellington mayoral candidate Keith Johnson promises common sense policies and financial resilience if elected mayor.


So here's the deal. Keith Johnson pays his two teenage sons their school bus money upfront. If they walk, cycle or scoot instead, they can keep the dosh.

"Economic incentives," he explains. It's that economist's pragmatism that Johnson wants to bring to Wellington's council table. But only if he can be boss.

At 72, the salt-and-pepper-stubbled policy adviser is one of the oldest Wellington mayoral candidates. He's quick to put that in context – "not as old as Bernie Sanders, a little older than Donald Trump and slightly older than Hillary Clinton".

While a lifetime of experience in development and transport economics would make him well-qualified for the council, he's only standing for mayor. He did stand in the southern ward on a Labour ticket in 2010, but rated a distant fourth.

Things have changed since then, with the rise of social media – his primary campaign tool. He admits he's a long shot – but then look at global politics.

Johnson wants everyone to sit down for a nice cup of tea. Set it down on one of his Ten Guitars faux-record coasters and stare out the window at Island Bay's Tapu Te Ranga island and fishing boats. Take time to control debt and rates rises and finish what the council has started.

All those big-idea projects are just about councillors getting their name in the paper, he says. Every time they give your money away they get a headline. So, no new projects – for the next three years at least.

Johnson's a Buddhist – Zen, not the Cambodian variety, like the monastery up the road. There's a story he likes, about an old monk being set upon by ruffians breaking his silence to complain.

"The other monks are saying, 'How come you're making all this noise?' He says, 'Well, sometimes there are times when you should yell and scream'. That's what I think about the current situation with council."

From his lounge window, perched on the suburb's hilly boundary, you can almost see the cause of much of the council hand-wringing – the infamous Island Bay cycleway. He doesn't think he opposed it, he was just sceptical about how it was done. I point out a quote from his "citizen journalist" blogposts – "I am not a supporter of Island Bay's cycleway but I do feel that, having gone this far, we should give it a fair trial and learn as much as we can from the experience."

Johnson grew up on a dairy farm in Cheshire, England, the posthumous son of a father killed eight months earlier in an air force accident.

He won a scholarship to Cambridge University to study geography – he was interested in the way things fit together. It's the same reason he's interested in leading the council – because its disparate parts don't tessellate.

"I think there's a dysfunctional ethic in the council where they just want to spend more and more."

Johnson, meanwhile, has spent his professional life scrutinising spending projects. He did a PhD on the impact of road transport on beef cattle production in Australia's Northern Territory. He worked for Arab project management company Dar Al-Handasah, worked through coups d'etat, typhoons and volcanic eruptions for the Asian Development Bank in the Philippines, lectured in planning at England's Bradford University and consulted here for the Transport, Health, Housing and Social Development ministries, and the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research.

He's probably the only mayoral candidate to have been shot at, he jokes. [at Beit Eddine in South Lebanon circa 1977]

These days he's a stay-at-home Dad who blogs about politics, poetry, country music and fiscally irresponsible councillors. A 3.6 per cent rates rise with inflation at 0.4 per cent is a disgrace, he says.

There's a fat Guardians of the Bay ring-binder on the dining table. Unlike most of his fellow Guardians, Johnson does [sorry Nikki there was a typo here in your published version] oppose the airport runway extension, per se. And he especially opposes the "scandalous" suggestion the council should contribute $90 million to a profitable company.

[As for opposing it ‘per se’, my position has always been that, as with the Basin Reserve, we have to let due process, and referral to the Environment Court, take their course. My submission to the EC opposes the proposal on a wide range of grounds that include environmental impacts].

Ditto plans to build space into the council-funded convention centre to house Peter Jackson's movie museum. And while we're on the subject – has anyone even run a proper ruler over the convention centre business case?

And do we really need people boozing after 3am? From personal experience, no good can come of that, Johnson says. Actually, if he's honest, it's probably a decade since he's been out after 1am. His partner, Jane, is a Health Ministry nursing adviser so alcohol impacts are a hot topic.

In 10-20 years, Johnson wants to see a rapid transit system running under Mt Cook and Newtown. But for now, Wellington's growth is already outstripping Auckland's, without any major new projects. So there's plenty of time for that cup of tea.

FAST FACTS

Party politics: Independent, but stood for Labour in 2010

Pick for deputy: Andy Foster

Campaign budget: Nil

A Wellington weekend: Keith Johnson's typical Wellington weekend starts with the boys' soccer. There's probably socialising on Saturday night, recovery time on Sunday morning and a long walk or drive on Sunday afternoon.


 - Stuff
Posted 29th August 2016 by Keith Shorrocks Johnson

Legacy


Trump Cognition: Do We Have Captcha?

Censorship of Poetry: Are We Already Doing That On International Social Media?

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I normally first post my poems to this site - and then back-up their publication up on PoemHunter, which provides a kind of running anthology. When I tried to publish the poem 'Tourist' on PoemHunter last year it refused to accept it, notifying me that there were 'Illegal Characters'. 

Today, in a run of boredom, I went back and tried every combination of deletions that I could to get PoemHunter to accept an amended version. Obviously, I tried taking out references to firearms and specific public personalities - and then more. But whatever, I did, I could not seem to satisfy the requirements set by the PoemHunter algorithm.

I would be interested in readers' views as to whether I have or have not been censored?

[Ironically, although my poem has the title 'Tourist', sparking off Yehuda Amichai's much more famous poem, it refers to time that I spent in Jerusalem in 2000 working on the 'Palestine Administrative and Institutional Development Project' under the aegis of the British Council. 

The project was supposed to contribute to the realization of an Israel-Palestine Peace Accord based on the 2-State Proposal. So I was not in fact a pleasure seeker in Jerusalem but somebody who was willing to give up 3 years of my life to help build a permanent peace]. 

TOURIST

They hang out together like sixth-formers from a school in the toughest part of town
They have used biros to draw slogans and cartoons on the webbing of their gear
They are small and unprepossessing – sweat-stains and acne -
But boy do they swagger in the stone-paved lane-ways of Old Jerusalem
These boys from the Israeli Army, there to protect tourists like me -
Toting their Uzis - open-bolt, blow-back-operated submachine guns -
As is only right, I weep over them.

And return to my hotel to plunge my dirty underwear into the hand basin, turn on the cold tap and scrub with the complimentary cake of soap after finagling it from its film wrapping -
In a bathroom that is dark, tiled a light cloudy brown and slightly suffocating – and not cool and blue.

Sorry to disoblige but I don’t lust for Gal Gadot or Ayelet Sheked.
They are out of my league – and I got schooled in tough love problems
With the story of King David coveting Bathsheba after she dropped the soap, skinny-dipping on a roof-top,
After which the King arranged for her loyal Hittite husband Uriah to be sent to the front-line where he was killed in action -
[All of which displeased the Lord].

So that Absalom laid ten of his father’s concubines when his time came -
In plain view - to put himself in his old man’s place.

Redemption will only come if their guide tells them
That redemption is atonement and right action - and not deliverance -
Such Eve - that all tender and delicate women
Will turn aside and find fruit and vegetables for their families.


NOTE

The ‘spark’ is the well-regarded, much loved poem “Tourists” by Israel’s former poet laureate, Yehuda Amichai, which is set by a gate at David’s Tower in Jerusalem. Winner of numerous awards, Yehuda Amichai (Hebrew: יהודה עמיחי‎; born Ludwig Pfeuffer ‎3 May 1924 – 22 September 2000) was regarded as ‘Israel's greatest modern poet’. 

Find the poem at:


A Palestinian schoolgirl going home through an alley next to the City of David excavation site. Mauricio Lima for The New York Times

Sunday Review – New York Times
Can an Archaeological Dig Change the Future of Jerusalem?
By Bari Weiss, 30 March 2019
Photography by Mauricio Lima

Collapsageddon and the Stock Market: Fear of Missing Out versus Fear of Cashing in Your Chips?

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OECD forecasts between 11.3% and 12.9% unemployment for the USA end-2020

The stock market and economy have parted ways. It’s just a FOMO [Fear of Missing Out] market now.
Opinion by Robert J. Samuelson, 13 July 2020


It is impossible not to marvel at the apparently indestructible gap between the buoyant stock market and the less-than-buoyant real economy of workers, companies and jobs. One must say “apparently indestructible,” because maybe there is some simple and obvious explanation that eludes your correspondent. Otherwise, either the stock market is too high, or the economic outlook is too low. One or both must be wrong.

Just last week, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) — a group of 36 countries — issued its forecast for the United States through 2021. It is unlikely to inspire much cheering. Acknowledging that much depends on the severity of the coronavirus, the OECD report constructs two scenarios: one that might be termed “pessimistic” and a second that is “more pessimistic.”

Under the “pessimistic” assumptions, the unemployment rate is projected at 11.3 percent at the end of 2020 and the economy (gross domestic product) falls 7.3 percent for the year. Both the unemployment rate and the GDP decline are larger than in any previous post-World War II recession. By way of comparison, the peak monthly jobless rate in the Great Recession of 2007-2009 was 10 percent.

[Even as the number of U.S. coronavirus cases passes 3 million, President Trump has repeatedly played down covid-19’s toll on the country.]

The “more pessimistic” forecast assumes that there is a second wave of coronavirus cases. This delays the economy’s recovery and results in more deaths. In the “double-hit” scenario, the year-end unemployment rate is 12.9 percent, and the GDP drops by 8.5 percent. “The recession risks leaving behind a long-lasting negative economic impact,” the OECD warns. “Policies are needed . . . to help workers and businesses avoid scarring effects and fully recover from the crisis.”

Of course, the OECD could be too glum. A new report from the Congressional Budget Office foresees a slightly brighter future. It reckons the GDP decline for 2020 at 5.9 percent and year-end unemployment at 10.5 percent. Hardly a boom. The presidential campaign magnifies the uncertainty. President Trump or former vice president Joe Biden could easily say something that sharply moves the market.

Still, the stock market is clearly overpriced by standard measures. The workhorse of stock valuation is the price/earnings ratio, or PE. The stock’s price is a multiple of its earnings (profits). Suppose a stock sells for $10 a share with earnings of $1 a share. It has a PE of 10.

Historically, the PE for the entire U.S. stock market is about 15. But today’s market PE of roughly 23 is about 50 percent higher than the historic average. All sorts of theories have been advanced to explain these lofty prices. The most popular view involves the Federal Reserve’s policy of holding short-term interest rates near zero and flooding financial markets with money. The idea is that the low interest rates push investors into riskier financial assets, including stocks. Implied (but not yet said openly) is that the Fed might actually buy stocks to prevent a horrific crash.

William Silber, a retired financial historian at New York University, adds an interesting twist to this story. Investors and traders remember what happened in 2008 when Lehman Brothers went bankrupt. The Standard & Poor’s 500 stocks fell by 45 percent by mid-March 2009. “But by the end of 2009, the stock market had recovered almost all its losses,” says Silber. Many investors, he says, vowed not to miss that sort of profit-making opportunity again. When stocks tumble, these investors fortify their positions.

Writing for Project Syndicate, an opinion website, Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller of Yale University argues that crowd psychology has driven prices up. He divides the current market move into three separate periods: a 3 percent increase from Jan. 30 to Feb. 19; a 34 percent decline from there to March 23; and about a 40 percent rise from the end of March until now.

Once the Fed made clear its determination to foster recovery, “FOMO” — fear of missing out — took over, says Shiller. What happens now is anyone’s guess.

“The stock market and the economy have parted ways,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody’s Analytics. “I’m not sure what will trigger a sustained sell-off in stocks, but surging [virus] infections and another round of more business closures will be difficult for investors to ignore much longer.”

There are other theories of the market’s disconnect from the real economy. One is the rise of computer-driven trading. Another is the role played by younger traders. Having less market experience than their elders, they may be less risk-averse.

Who knows? The stakes are huge, politically and economically. If the market keeps or increases its value, it could bolster the recovery and Trump’s prospects. And, of course, if the market loses value, it will almost certainly hurt the recovery and help Biden. As always, the market is caught between fear and greed.



NZ's Muller Resigns: Populism becoming a Toxic Brand

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TOXIC POPULISM / TOXIC AMERICANISM / TOXIC TRUMPISM EATING ITS OWN?

New Zealand opposition leader Todd Muller resigns just two months before election, after just 50 days in the job, saying he was not a good fit
Eleanor Ainge Roy, The Guardian, 13 July 2020


Mueller ousted former leader Simon Bridges in May, but after a fortnight of scandals, Muller said he had realised he was not a good fit, saying the country needed an opposition leader who is “comfortable in the job” “It has become clear to me that I am not the best person to be leader of the opposition and leader of the New Zealand National party at this critical time for New Zealand,” Muller said.

“The role has taken a heavy toll on me personally, and on my family, and this has become untenable from a health perspective.”
...

SEE: New Zealand opposition MP who leaked details of Covid-19 patients steps down: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jul/08/new-zealand-opposition-mp-who-leaked-details-of-covid-19-patients-steps-down

AND:

 




 

[From top-left clockwise: Golriz, Karl, Phil, David and Eric]

AN ALT-RIGHTWARD CHUMMOCRACY THAT THREATENS PROGRESSIVE NEW ZEALAND?

I was utterly appalled by the news that NZ Green MP Golriz Ghahraman is now the subject of significant death threats for her political opinions. She is being protected by a professional security escort. Such is the rapid deterioration pf public life in New Zealand.

Filed under the heading 'Security' [Not 'Freedom of Expression'], we have this article by Andrea Vance in this morning’s Dominion Post:

Security escort for Green MP Golriz Ghahraman after death threats
Andrea Vance, 21 May 2019


It draws a clear link between the foul-mouthing of Super Tit / Super Twit / Leader of the Association of Consumers and Taxpayers [ACT] Party and Member of Parliament for the Super-Rich-Super-Privileged in Auckland’s Epsom Constituency - David Seymour - and the escalation of threats to the life of the young NZ Green Party Member of Parliament.

Ghahraman said it was "distressing".

She also said: "After Christchurch, New Zealand has asked us to be different. New Zealanders want us to debate issue robustly but to keep personal issues out of it...we have all learned that words, including online posts, have consequences sometimes."

Ghahraman, a list MP since 2017, was flanked by Green Party leader James Shaw while speaking to reporters at Parliament. A Green Party camera operator also filmed the exchange, which is unusual.

Seymour was interviewed by Magic Talk radio's Sean Plunket about Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern's proposed "Christchurch Call". His remarks were later highlighted by Seymour's party on Twitter.

He referred to "mass murderers" in history such as Mao Tse Tung, Stalin and Hitler using the suppression of free expression to gain power. He then added: "I just think Golriz Ghahraman is completely wrong. I don't know if she understands what she is saying but Golriz Ghahraman is a real menace to freedom in this country."

Seymour said he didn't feel responsible for the threats. "We have robust debates, she gives as good as she gets.

It is worth noting that:

Seymour was the sole Member of Parliament to oppose the Labour-led coalition government's Arms (Prohibited Firearms, Magazines, and Parts) Amendment Bill, which bans all semi-automatic firearms used during the Christchurch mosque shootings that occurred on 15 March 2019. Seymour had missed the vote because he had been talking to the media. 

Now Golriz has been the victim of numerous attacks from other sources [partly motivated by the fact that she is a women - but also for what some regard as her exotic/ 'Un-Kiwi' provenance] – most notably by professional spin-doctor and pen-for-hire stranger-to-the-truth Phil Quin – of which I have had something to say previously in these columns.

Quin has slagged Golriz for being a lawyer who acts on the old maxim that the accused is ‘Innocent Until Proved Guilty’. As a young intern lawyer Golriz assisted the legal defence team of Rwandan folk-singer Simon Bikindi for his role in the 1994 Rwanda Genocide, when his case came to trial with the International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda (ICTR). Bikindi was sentenced to 17 years in prison. 

Golriz Ghahraman: Disqualified for Public Office for Smiling while Working? At least according to the National Newspapers! 

DOMINION POST BLOWS ALL CREDIBILITY IN HATE SPEECH LAW DEBATE
KSJWNZ 15 April 2019


Quin has frequently implied that Ghahraman’s professional conduct somehow implicates her in the Genocide itself – and that she is at odds with exposing its iniquity.

Regardless of the stupidity and malevolence of these accusations, it is worth noting that the political regime of the current Rwandan President Paul Kagame is hardly snow white. Phil Quin’s paymasters when he worked on Media Affairs for Kagame’s regime in Kigali are acquiring an increasingly unsavoury reputation for political assassination:

Death of Rwandan opposition aide fits all-too-familiar pattern
By African Times editor - 13 March 2019 at 5:15 am


Which brings us to the question of media freedoms and the supposed suppression of media freedoms through the moderation of hate speech here in New Zealand - and the rants of the NZ Dominion Post’s ‘Stale, Pale and Wail’ / Bête Blanche Karl du Fresne.

Coasting under the radar of apparent reasonableness, du Fresne portrays himself as the Defender of the Oppressed Majority – before subtly twisting his line of reasoning to Alt-Right Tropes [I learnt the word ‘trope’ from Haaretz – neat isn’t it?]. 

On du Fresne, see for example:

Replacement: An Excuse for Just About Anything 
THE MYTH OF THE PERSECUTED MAJORITY
KSJWNZ 21 March 2019


And to complete the circle, we have the Editor of the Dominion Post himself Eric Janssen who gives du Fresne star-billing for his rants: 

The Case for a New Chief Human Rights Commissioner in NZ 
Should immigrants steeped in Right-wing / Neo-liberal Business Practices be shaping our Economy and Society
KSJWNZ 18 April 2019


Ironic here, given that du Fresne has contested the appointment of Englishman Paul Hunt as NZ Human Rights Commissioner on the grounds that ‘He is Not One of Us’, that Janssen was born and brought up in South Africa.

And doubly ironic that Janssen should enjoy reporting on paying off a notorious blood-thirsty warlord in Mozambique. In 1993 Janssen interviewed Afonso Dhlakama, leader of the Mozambique Resistance Movement (Renamo), which had waged war against the ruling Frelimo forces – ‘a hero to many but accused by many others of blood-curdling brutality and forcing young children to bear arms’. 

But fearing for his safety if he was forced to stay overnight, Janssen augmented the warlord’s war chest with a bribe:

Summer essay: My interview with a warlord
ERIC JANSSEN, NZ Stuff, 21 January 2014


No doubt Janssen and Quin share a few shaggy dog stories about bizarre happenings in war-torn Africa – chumming up in the bar [oops apology here Quin is a recovering alcoholic - but there must be other places where they can cosy-up]. Perhaps bringing their mate Karl into the scrimmage to bewail the Libtard Snowflakes like me who won’t let them have Everything Their Own Way.

And here I start to fantasize about them being joined for their board games of Right Risk by US Ambassador Scott Brown and Alt-Right Libertarian ‘California Kiwi’ Peter Thiel – all too ready to stake their mates if there is a need to put money on the table:

[‘Right Risk’ is a strategy board game of diplomacy, conflict and conquest for two to six players. The standard version is played on a board depicting a political map of Earth, divided into forty-two territories, which are grouped into six continents. It involves total lack of international collaboration and the pursuit of limitless internecine warfare based entirely on the self-interest of oligarchs and plutocrats and the autocratic nationalism that they promote.]

Oh – I almost forgot to mention [and you’ll appreciate this Golriz] that in addition to being the darling of the Acquisitive Majority in the Grammar Zone, David Seymour is the famous author of ‘From Birth of a Boom: Saskatchewan’s Dawning Golden Age’ (2011) which is basically a Rip-the-Shit-Out-Of-Non-Renewable-Resources-Like-There-Is-No-Tomorrow Manifesto.

New Zealanders beware – you deserve better than these deceits.

                               Article first posted  by 


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  1. I think there is a real possibilty of this. The leadership success of Muller is chilling, no pretence straight to the point, his fundamental beliefs ready to inform his policies. As for du Fresne et.al. the wealthy right majority suffering from oppression while Golriz Gharhaman gets death threats...just no words. Trump and the American Rights toxicity is reaching Aotearoa/NZ, the comments on FB aimed at anything remotely left, are just vicious. It is very easy just to isolate, I am not very helpful.
    ReplyDelete

Judith Collins: The Crusher is Back!

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The Crusher is a Decepticon machine from the Generation 1 continuity neo-liberal oligarch-crook family

The Crusher is a tank-like vehicle that is suitable for any type of terrain. On top of that, it is equipped with engines that allow it to fly. Its defining feature is two rows of large teeth made from tetrinite that are capable of chewing a path through any given matter.

              Megatron loved the Crusher.     

—the Narrator on Megatron's orientation

Jaws of Terror - Synopsis

An explosion prompts Soundwave to come rushing out from the underground Decepticon base, wondering if their dwindling oil supply has exploded. He finds that Megatron has destroyed Shockwave! Well...turns out he destroyed a model of Shockwave. But next time it'll be for real! 

That'll teach Shockwave to try and usurp Megatron! Soundwave humbly suggests using Shockwave's own logic and reasoning against him - and points out that Shockwave has been gaining power by delivering more oil to the Decepticon warriors.

A group of Dinobots is flying toward the Autobot base, having left their jungle-filled "recovery base" deep below the Antarctic. As Optimus and Prowl monitor, the Dinobots come under Decepticon attack. Slag grumpily notes that traveling in a large group was a bad idea, and he turns around to return to the recovery base alone—but Ramjet knocks him out of the sky. Prime sends Ratchet to repair Slag at the recovery base.

The Decepticons are tracking Slag, however, and take note of how he enters the recovery base—the location of the Autobots' oil supply! Megatron activates the thermo-borer, intending to use the oil against them.

The thermo-borer breaks into the Autobot base, where Ratchet is repairing Slag. Alarms go off, prompting Megatron to pull back, but not before Ratchet fires a device at the thermo-borer. Ratchet returns to his repairs, annoyed that it's taking so long, as he needs that time to reactivate the remaining Dinobots, still trapped in tar pit cocoons.

Prowl reports that things are quiet and that Ratchet's Memory Scrambler Mine should have erased the Decepticons' records of how to find the recovery base. Unfortunately, the Decepticons have countered the device with a new Beta Blocking Shield and still have the locations of all Autobot bases. Ignoring Soundwave's suggestion that they stealthily siphon off the Autobots' oil supplies, Megatron instead orders an attack aboard a giant vehicle known as the Crusher.

The Crusher begins slicing into the Antarctic ice shelf, cutting loose huge icebergs, which raise ocean levels and flood Earth's cities. Prime launches the Autobot superjets to counterattack. Ratchet and Slag flee as the Crusher begins to bore its way into the recovery base, noticing that the tar pits are beginning to boil and erupt.

Suddenly, hundreds of Dinobots burst from the tar pits, freed by the Crusher's vibrations. As Ratchet and Slag join the attack, the Crusher is ripped apart. Soundwave and Megatron escape in the escape pod.

[I'm afraid that, as I know next to nothing about National Party infighting, the above Synopsis is about as good as I can come up with. 

Having said that, my old friend Don Brash, in a personal email communication reviewing my first draft, replied that it was spot on.

Don knows a thing or two about leadership contests, and a thing or two about what's dubbed the 'worst job in politics', Leader of the Opposition - having performed more dubiously than anyone else in both, and weathered leadership votes under both National and ACT.

As he observes: 'leadership contests, by their nature, can cause rifts and disagreements between MPs' - and the extent of any division "depends on how the eventual leader handles his [sic: 'or her'?] job".

See More at:

Judith Collins, the new leader of National Party, promises to 'crush' the Government
Henry Cooke, NZ Stuff, 14 July 2020

https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/300056981/judith-collins-the-new-leader-of-national-party-promises-to-crush-the-government]



Kevin Lavery: Shitty Revolving Door promises widening Criminal Neglect for Basic Local Government Infrastructure?

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Wellington City Council declined pipe funding despite 'extreme risk'
Joel MacManus, NZ Stuff, 14 July 2020

The Dixon street pipe collapse sent sewage into the harbour and blocked CBD streets for months.


Wellington City Council “regularly declined” requests for money to upgrade aging pipes, despite being warned of “extreme risk”, an independent report has found.

The report, commissioned by Wellington Water, investigated the cause of the Dixon Street pipe collapse, which sent 6,500m3 of sewage into Wellington Harbour and blocked key CBD streets for months.

The pipe is one of the largest in the city, and connects directly to the main interceptor, Wellington's sewage “highway”, which feeds into the Moa Point treatment plant.

A litany of failures was blamed for the collapse, most notably a lack of regular inspections and consistent underfunding.
READ MORE:


Kevin Lavery was Chief Executive of the City of Wellington for 7 years from March 2013 to March 2020

In March 2020, Lavery was appointed Director of NZ’s Society of Local Government Managers

 


Pipes of despair: Wellington's woeful and wounded water system
Tom Hunt, NZ Stuff, 23 December 2019


Wellington Water chief executive Colin Crampton said workers have reduced the amount of wastewater going into the harbour from 100 litres per second to 10 litres per second after a wastewater tunnel collapsed in Willis St.

Wellington Water is sitting on a backlog of nearly 1000 leaks in pipes dating back to the Great Depression as it scrambles to deal with a massive wastewater leak into the harbour.

The state of Wellington's pipe work has been highlighted after a wastewater leak in 1930s pipes on Friday shut down a chunk of the central city and saw a swimming pool worth of dirty water, including faeces, washed into Wellington Harbour daily.

The leak, caused by an underground tunnel collapsing, was reduced from 100 to 10 litres per second by Sunday morning after a disused 1890s pipe was recommissioned.

But, Wellington Water has confirmed that it is currently sitting on a backlog of 920 leaks in its water system across Wellington, Hutt Valley, and Porirua. It has an average repair time of 21 days, which is outside of council targets, and the number of reported leaks had increased from about 10,000 in 2014 to almost 16,000 in 2019.

Is this what happens when we appoint wide boys as Chief Executives who are only interested in making a name for themselves short-term through Big Spending?

Is this what happens when Wellington City finances are plundered for 'prestige' capital investments to benefit Business Interests?

Is this what happens when the local newspaper the Dominion Post sells out to the Business Round Table in promoting corporate welfare over good governance?

And where is the former Chief Executive Kevin Lavery? What was his severance package ....etc. etc.?


Whatever happened to 'Wish Lists and Lolly Scrambles', 'Big Ideas', Short-Termism, Resource and Environmental Depletion, Corporate Welfare and Mates' Rates Capitalism?

Prostate Cancer: Tell Me Everything Is Now Forgiven

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EARLY MORNING MUSINGS

It shows what a strange fellow I am, I suppose, that I am becoming engrossed with the science surrounding Prostate Cancer and its treatment - and choose this as a one of a number of publication topics to take my mind off a bout of pain at 4.39 am in the early morning resulting from the progression of my disease.

And I am becoming similarly fascinated with the human challenges that arise in treating patients effectively and compassionately.

First then to give my sincere and warm thanks to the team of the Blood and Cancer Day-Centre at Wellington Hospital - and perhaps to mention, as representatives of my wonderful whanau, two nurses whose names of have finally got into my noddle Liesel [who came to NZ from South Africa as a small girl] and Bea [who is from Visayan settler stock on Mindanao Island in the Philippines].

Thanks so much to all you guys!

And to also provide special mention of the highly innovative and appropriate 'Patients as Teachers' programme for trainee doctors that is being run through collaboration by our Mary Potter Hospice and the Otago School of Medicine [see header].

I had my two young doctors along for a visit on Monday - and it was delightful. I was very impressed by my visitors and we wound up on a discussion of about the ethics of ostensible trade-offs between effective Covid-19 Pandemic Control and 'Opening the Economy for the 'Greater Good".

I argued that, quite apart from the dilemma being false in $ terms, Life was Precious and that doctors in particular had an obligation to fight against discrimination in care. So it was great to find that my young doctors agreed emphatically!

And I even got an apology for a Thousand Year Wrong! One of them had the surname Malbon [also Malbank] and presumably descends from the Robber Barons who subjected and colonised Anglo-Saxon England - a gang of war-thirsty thieves who slaughtered or starved to death 200,000 of the Northern English during the 'Harrying of the North' (1069-70).

In gratitude for his participation, William the Conqueror awarded the original Malbank the Barony of Nantwich in Cheshire. This was originally known as the Renowned ['Nant'] salt town or Wich - but for a considerable period in the Middle Ages was known as Wych Malbank.

But my young doctor was quick to assure me that he disavowed his presumed ancestor while not being at all minded to follow his example!

As for me - it's now 6.04 am - I'll get myself a cup of tea and try to settle down again.

I was told when I went for my 5th of 6 planned Chemo Cycles yesterday that there was a real danger that the treatment was setting up permanent pain pathways and damaging my my limbs though Peripheral Neuropathy. This could threaten my potential mobility, for example [water retention already makes it feel like I am wearing ski-boots].

So my lovely clinicians had to make a call about stopping the programme and did so. How far this will affect my longevity is of course a matter of probability - but the upside is that the treatment appears to have been very successful this far. Hard choices made with compassion - what is there more noble in life?

 

TELL ME EVERYTHING IS NOW FORGIVEN

The needle tears a hole in every dream
And there are livid scars that can’t be seen

The cloth once white - its threads now give and fray
As heaven’s fabric wastes and wears away

The stains of time have marred both hem and seam
You can’t repair what is or might have been

So tuck me tight, hold fast my hand and stay
As eons fold against the lifelong day

From the liar’s chair give hope tight-lipped
Puff the pillow ere the bed be stripped

Shush my broken thoughts as I awaken
Sweetest friend before the cloths are taken

While the peace in token sleep is kept
Remember he who rose and he who wept

Tell me everything is now forgiven
And that Lazarus has since arisen.

Prostate cancer

Every year, 3000 New Zealand men are diagnosed with prostate cancer, and 600 die from it.

1. PSA and prostate screening (41 minutes + 32 minutes = 73 minutes)
Prof Ross Lawrenson

2. Urology: diagnosis and management of prostate cancer (39 minutes)
Mr Rod Studd

3. Radiation oncology: primary diagnosis and treatment options (32 minutes)
Dr Scott Babington

4. Advanced prostate cancer and treatment options (25 minutes + 42 minutes = 67 minutes)
Dr Anne O’Donnell & Dr Scott Babington

5. Panel discussion (35 minutes)
All speakers, facilitated by Dr Bryan Betty

Prostate cancer

Seminar held 18 March 2016

Facilitator

Dr Bryan Betty – PHARMAC Deputy Medical Director, Chair PHARMAC seminars, GP & Porirua Union & Community Health Services

Invited speakers

Prof. Ross Lawrenson – Professor Primary Care, Akld & Asst. Dean Waikato Clinical School
Mr Rod Studd – Specialist Urologist - Wellington
Dr Anne O’Donnell – Consultant Medical Oncologist - Wellington
Dr Scott Babington – Radiation Oncologist & Senior Lecturer - Christchurch
These presentations are provided for professional development purposes for the benefit of qualified health practitioners and should not be relied upon for any other purpose. Any opinions offered are those of the presenter or other speaker and do not necessarily represent the views of PHARMAC. PHARMAC accepts no responsibility for the accuracy of the information provided.
Last updated: 11 March 2020

Kia pai tou tatou Matariki - Happy New Year!

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The Seven Stars
MATARIKI: SEVEN LADIES START AGAIN

I have been waiting for the start of the Matariki Festival here in NZ that marks the commencement of the Maori New Year. And finally the time is ripe, though some commentators would have had it start on the 13th July [the star-rise varies according to your N-S location in NZ, and so it differs across the homelands of the tribes or 'iwi' of the country].

One of the things that irritates Westerners most about traditional societies is their apparent lack of precision on matters of timing, numbers and relationships - but if you live long enough in a society that takes alternative approaches you start to give them more respect - there are times when context-related gist is more important than fact.

Anyhow, at my age I'm fully on board with a bit of imprecision - seeing life more as a part-completed mosaic that will always deny us an ultimately irresolvable Big Picture to some degree.

Which also provides me with an excuse for splicing together a string of previous articles, stories and poems on the subject [including a contribution from the Warlpiri of Central Australia]:

Matariki and the six sisters / Te ono o Matariki

There are many legends about the star cluster Matariki. One of the most popular is that the star Matariki is a dutiful whaea (mother), surrounded by her six daughters, Tupu-ā-nuku, Tupu-ā-rangi, Waipunarangi, Waitī and Waitā, and Ururangi.

Matariki is the grand daughter of the Earth Mother herself Papatūānuku. And every year Matariki journeys with her daughters across the sky each to pay her respects to her great maternal ancestor - the source of life.

During this visit, each of the stars help Papatūānuku to prepare for the year to come, by bringing their unique qualities or gifts to revitalize the mauri or life force / energy of the earth's different environments.

Whilst spending time with their kuia or great grandmother, they also learn new skills and gain new knowledge from her, which they guard and pass on to others.

UPDATE: Matariki the Māori New Year – 2020

by THE KIWI FAMILIES TEAM
https://www.kiwifamilies.co.nz/articles/matariki-maori-new-year/

It is these 7 stars [possibly a mother and six daughters?] that have traditionally been known as the 7 sisters, or the Matariki. The Matariki star names are:

Alcyone – Matariki, eyes of Tāwhirimātea
Atlas – Tupu-ā-rangi, sky tohunga (wise one)
Electra – Waipuna-ā-rangi, sky spring
Taygeta – Waitī, sweet water
Pleione – Tupu-ā-nuku, earth tohunga (wise one)
Merope – Ururangi, entry to the heavens
Maia – Waitā, sprinkle of water

As Dr Matamua notes some Iwi make out 9 stars in the constellation, but it is very difficult to make these out with the naked eye. The two extra stars are:

Pōhutukawa – connects Matariki to the dead and is the star that carries our dead across the year (Sterope/Asterope).
Hiwaiterangi/Hiwa – is the youngest star in the cluster, the star you send your wishes to (Celaeno).

SOME POETRY FROM ME:

 

MAORI NEW YEAR - THE SEVEN SISTERS RISE ANEW

Our birth-folk
Sky and earth
Together and apart
Grief and yearning
Heaving and strain.

Their children
The woodlands
And the seas
The winds and waves
The food stores
War and stillness.

Though the young struggle
With storms and snares,
The dark and emptiness
Are overcome by light and growth
And the sky is clothed in stars.

Get ready for the westerly
Stand fast for the southerly
It will be icy white inland
And icy cold on the shore.

May the dawn rise
Red-tipped
On snow, on frost

The breath of life!


POWHIRI

At the island’s edge
The warrior-waves
Swell and break
In unison
And the shore
Picks up the challenge.

Across the strait
Are distant mountains,
Arrayed like wise chiefs
Capped with heron feathers,
Snow-shone with white flame,
Welcoming us to the winter solstice.



[Repeated from 2017 - part traditional Maori invocation, part personal poetry].

 

Originally told by the Maori elder or 'kaumātua' Mita Carter of the Wairarapa District of the North Island, the story of Rehutai and Tangimoana is reproduced in the Te Ara Encyclopedia of New Zealand, where it is illustrated by the artwork of the Maori artist Bronwyn Waipuka [see above]. My poem is respectfully offered as a means of celebrating and enhancing the honour and mana of Maori artists and storytellers within New Zealand’s Bicultural Milieu.

Te Whiti o Tu  

[A Story for You]

Longing for landfall, the albatross
Sought the twin sisters of the waves
Mist of the Breaking Surf
And Voice of the Breaking Surf.

So the young warrior Rautoroa
Courted Rehutai and Tangimoana
Bringing gifts to their chieftain father,
Hoping to take away a bride

But both of the girls fell in love
With the bold and handsome youth
So that neither would leave him
Alone with the other.

Seeking to choose between them
The young man asked for water
And Tangimoana hurried to the stream
To fill a gourd so that he could drink.

But Rehutai lingered, at last alone
With the man she fallen in love with,
Until he said again in anger:
Woman fetch me water.

But Tangimoana on filling her gourd
Muddied the stream so that
When her sister came to its edge
She had to wait for it to clear.

And on returning Rehutai found
Her sister wearing the warrior’s cloak
With his raukura feather in her headband
Signifying that they were betrothed.

At this the bereft girl rose with the mist
Living thenceforth a desolate life
On the hill of the lonely one,
Ohine-mokemoke Rehutai.

Rehutai’s Lament

I toss like the waves
Moaning with loss
Turning restlessly
Alone on my sleeping mat.

A young girl dreaming
That he would choose and love me -
But only starlight lingers
Now night has overtaken day.

The dark stains of peat
From the marshland
Are washed by the stream
But heart stains are forever



[Dedicated to my lovely friend and City Fitness personal trainer Bernadette 'BJ' Baker]


“None of Us is Safe until All of Us are Safe”: Jacinda signs off on Global Health Action

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The international community must guarantee equal global access to a covid-19 vaccine

Opinion by Justin Trudeau, Sahle-Work Zewde, Moon Jae-in, Jacinda Ardern, Cyril Ramaphosa, Pedro Sánchez Pérez-Castejón, Stefan Lofven and Elyes Fakhfakh

Washington Post, 16 July 2020

“None of us is safe until all of us are safe.”

This statement by United Nations Secretary General António Guterres sums up the momentous challenge ahead. As the world is still in the midst of the deadliest pandemic of the 21st century, with the number of cases still rising at the global level, immunization is our best chance of ending the pandemic at home and across the world — but only if all countries get access to the vaccine.

Covid-19 is wreaking havoc across the world, and no country will be spared its consequences, whether directly through loss of life and health, or indirectly through its impact on the economy, health services, education and many other parts of society. The pandemic is disproportionately affecting populations living in poverty and vulnerable situations.

Thankfully, great efforts, investment and coordination — largely facilitated by the World Health Organization (WHO) — are being directed at putting an end to the pandemic.

Vaccines are the most powerful public health tool and are critical for saving lives. Thanks to vaccines, we have seen good progress in reducing child mortality in recent decades.

At this point in time, with almost 200 potential covid-19 vaccine candidates currently at different stages of development, there is hope that soon one or more will prove to be both safe and effective. What happens next is equally important. This cannot be a race with one winner. When one or more vaccines are successful, it must be a win for all of us.

We cannot allow access to vaccines to increase inequalities within or between countries — whether low-, middle- or high-income. A future covid-19 vaccine can be instrumental in our commitment to achieve one of the key elements in the United Nations’ sustainable development goals: ensuring healthy lives and promoting well-being for all at all ages.

However, manufacturing enough vaccines and doses to cover the whole global population will take time. While global cooperation in terms of resources, expertise and experiences is paramount for developing a vaccine, manufacturing and distributing it while leaving no one behind will truly put global cooperation to the test. But if we are successful, we can beat the virus and pave the way for recovery from the pandemic.

Therefore, we must urgently ensure that vaccines will be distributed according to a set of transparent, equitable and scientifically sound principles. Where you live should not determine whether you live, and global solidarity is central to saving lives and protecting the economy. A managed flow of the vaccine —including for humanitarian settings and other vulnerable countries such as the least developed countries and small island developing states — is the wise and strategic course of action and will benefit countries across the world.

Implementing an organized global flow of vaccines requires a strong multilateral mechanism ensuring mutual trust, transparency and accountability. A fair and effective vaccine allocation mechanism, guided by WHO advice and based on needs rather than means, should focus on saving lives and protecting health systems.

There are already local, regional and global initiatives to secure vaccine availability, including the important Covid-19 Vaccine Global Access (COVAX) Facility; we believe these initiatives should be coordinated and mutually reinforcing. We particularly recognize the WHO’s role as the leading global health agency, but also ongoing efforts by Gavi (the Vaccine Alliance) and the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI) as part of the vaccines pillar of the Access to COVID-19 Tools (ACT) Accelerator. We also acknowledge the role of the International Vaccine Institute (IVI) in making vaccines available and accessible for vulnerable populations in developing countries and fully support the U.N. secretary general’s important leadership in ensuring a coordinated process.

A successfully managed vaccine distribution will also be a cornerstone of strengthening multilateralism for the future — as was the Security Council resolution on covid-19 drafted by France and Tunisia, demanding a global cease-fire in armed conflicts — and an important step toward coming back stronger together.

We call on global leaders to commit to contributing to an equitable distribution of the covid-19 vaccine, based on the spirit of a greater freedom for all.


SIGNED BY

Justin Trudeau, prime minister of Canada
Sahle-Work Zewde, president of Ethiopia
Moon Jae-in, president of the Republic of Korea
Jacinda Ardern, prime minister of New Zealand
Cyril Ramaphosa, president of South Africa (also chairperson of the African Union)
Pedro Sánchez Pérez-Castejón, prime minister of Spain
Stefan Lofven, prime minister of Sweden
Elyes Fakhfakh, prime minister of the Republic of Tunisia

George Orwell, Left-Libertarianism and Keeping the Bastards Honest!

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Orwell and Dmitriyev

GEORGE ORWELL – LOOK OUT: PRINCIPLE WANES AND POWER CORRUPTS! 

As a self-declared Left-Libertarian, I obviously have a special regard for George Orwell – and his sceptism regarding organized political parties and their seemingly inexorable vulnerability to corruption through the abuse of power:

‘Political language – and with variations this is true of all political parties, from Conservatives to Anarchists – is designed to make lies sound truthful and murder respectable, and to give an appearance of solidity to pure wind’.

Nothing I have learned over my lifetime pushes me to doubt Orwell’s comment.

And there will always be a coteries of Right-Wingers who claim to have been repelled from former associations and involvements with Left-Wing politics – often as a result of duplicity and double-dealing at the top but also as a result of the self-seeking and dishonesty by officials and functionaries on a day-to-day basis - and special pleading and posing.

When for example I read of Grant Robertson our Minister of Finance quoting working in the stores section of a supermarket during the Uni-Vacation as the highlight of his direct working-class exposure, I cringe. And when I am treated without honesty and civility by one of his minions, I likewise cringe.

I do not and have never claimed to being ‘working class’ but I have spent a good deal of time working as a day-labourer on farms involved in such activities as hay-making and potato picking where I came into very direct contacts with agricultural labourers. And I did once spend 4 months working full-time as a Hospital Porter [what we in NZ call an ‘Orderly’] – a very revealing and interesting experience!

But such infelicities and exposures have never been enough to persuade me that, in our contemporary society, the levels of power abuse that are open to those from the Right [through moneyed interests and corporate-financial manipulation] are generally much greater than those that might suborn those on the Left. And what’s more, I feel strongly that there is a myriad of issues regarding income security, social welfare and disproportionate wealth accumulation that require immediate and radical redress.

And I have spent a good deal of time talking to peasants and the poor in Developing Countries during project and regional planning exercises – and getting to know their contemporary local sahibs, such that I heartily concur with Orwell on the observation that:

“I have seen British Imperialism at work in Burma, and I have seen something of the effects of poverty and unemployment in Britain. In so far as I have struggled against the system, it has been mainly of writing books which I hoped would influence the reading public. I shall continue to do that, of course, but at a moment like the present writing books in not enough.”

Hence Left-Libertarianism.

Interesting then to match up some recent comments on the relevance of Orwell’s writings and activism to our present discontents – and also cross-reference to what is happening in Putin’s Russia, as exemplified by the case of Yury Dmitriyev that has resulted from his investigations of the mass murder that took place in Stalin’s USSR.

So I’ll start with Benedict Cooper’s recent piece on Orwell and Free Speech – and then splice in a few snippets from another couple of reference points and leave you with the URLs for the documents so that you can research further at your leisure.

Our motives for quoting George Orwell must be as scrupulous as he was
Benedict Cooper, 4 July 2020
This article originally appeared in the Daily Telegraph, in July 2020.


The author of Animal Farm is eminently quotable – and that is why he has been co-opted on both sides of the political spectrum.

“If Liberty means anything at all it means the right to tell people what they do not want to hear.” This quote by George Orwell, which is engraved next to his statue outside the BBC headquarters, makes Billy Bragg, the musician and left-wing activist cringe.

Writing in the Guardian last week, Bragg expanded by highlighting a tendency to cite Orwell and this quote in particular, among the “reactionary right”, and those, he says, “who have constructed tropes such as political correctness and virtue signalling to enable them to police the limits of social change”.

This, he says, is a misreading, and a misappropriation of the author of Nineteen Eighty-Four, because “Orwell’s quote is not a defence of liberty; it’s a demand for licence.”

He is correct to say that Orwell is often cited by the libertarian right, for his defences of freedom. 

However, it is more accurate to say that Orwell is cited, justifiably or not, by all sides of the political divide.

Too often with this comes the tendency to claim and co-opt Orwell for subjective purposes. Academic journals, contemporary political writing – by all sides – and, of course, social media, are filled with bold statements about “what Orwell would have thought” today, and whose side he would have taken.

Orwell called truth only as he saw it, based on a scrupulous fidelity to reason, fact, and contemporary evidence. To claim to know what Orwell’s view would be on debates raging seven decades after his death, is at best careless. But to assert with authority that “Orwell’s quote is not a defence of liberty” takes a large step over the line of what is provable.

The essay in which the famous quote appears, ‘The Freedom of the Press’, was written as a preface to Animal Farm. A thorough reading of this reveals a far more extensive treatise of the question of liberty. In fact we see Orwell express the opposing view to the one which Bragg posthumously attributes to him. In Orwell’s own words:

“I am well acquainted with all the arguments against freedom of thought and speech — the arguments which claim that it cannot exist, and the arguments which claim that it ought not to. I answer simply that they don’t convince me and that our civilisation over a period of four hundred years has been founded on the opposite notice.”

If this leaves any doubt as to where Orwell stood on the issue of press freedom, it is cleared up in a later passage that reads, “If the intellectual liberty which…has been one of the distinguishing marks of western civilization means anything at all it means that everyone shall have the right to say and to print what he believes to be the truth [I add: especially to established/organized power]”.

And later in the same essay Orwell goes on to bemoan the “cowardice” of contemporary left-intellectuals who had, as he saw it, capitulated to the anti-libertarian, censoriousness of Stalinism – at the hands of which he had personally suffered greatly during the Spanish Civil War – over the very issue of press freedom:

“They have accepted the principle that a book should be published or suppressed, praised or damned, not on its merits but according to political expediency. And others who do not actually hold this view assent to it from sheer cowardice.”

If to quote Orwell is to mean anything at all, it must mean to resist the temptation towards subjective appropriation and co-option, and being as scrupulous with the author and his works, as we are with ourselves.

[Benedict Cooper is a committee member of the Orwell Society].

The contemporary case of Yury Dmitriyev suggests that the history of Animal Farm is not over – and that efforts to expunge the record are still continuing under Putin’s [Non-Communist/Non-Marxist ] Regime which aspires to the mantle of the Glory Days of Stalin’s USSR.

A Gulag Historian Returns to Prison: acquitted of child pornography, Yury Dmitriyev now faces charges of sexual assault.
Respected Gulag historian Yury Dmitriyev has spent decades calling attention to one of the darkest chapters in Russia's history. He now faces up to 15 years in prison on sexual assault charges in a case his allies say has been trumped up to silence him.

By Evan Gershkovich, Moscow Times, 16 July 2020

Since the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991, historians say, the state has supported them in locating and memorializing the burial sites of the estimated 15 to 30 million victims of Stalin’s rule. At the location Dmitriyev discovered — Sandarmokh — local authorities helped build roads and erect monuments and aided with an annual gathering at the site.

But in recent years, human rights defenders say, the climate has become less hospitable. Those who spoke with The Moscow Times pointed to a resurgence in Stalin’s popularity as a significant reason: In June last year, Russians voted him the “most outstanding” person in history. In second place was President Vladimir Putin, who has accused the West of “excessive demonization” of the Soviet leader.

Others pointed to a surge in nationalism since 2014, when Russia annexed Crimea and got involved in Ukraine. “There were many foreigners killed at Sandarmokh — Norwegians, Poles, Finns and Ukrainians, including around 200 intellectuals,” Krivenko said. “This is a very important place for Ukrainians especially, and a delegation would visit the site annually.”

Dmitriyev organized the memorial visit every year on Aug. 5. He invited foreign delegations and led discussions, Krivenko said. After the events in Crimea and Ukraine, the discussions often turned to politics.

And there we have it, there seems to be an inevitable tendency for power to corrupt and for it to feed on past corruptions. Which leads Dmitriyev similarly inevitably to incarceration and identification with the past.

Without those memories, Dmitriyev continued, today’s generation cannot judge whether their government is laudable or acting improperly.

The people I dig up were in the same prison, walked the same halls and were behind the same bars.

“When a person knows the history of their family for multiple generations, they can understand what our state is doing right and what it’s doing wrong,” he said. “Called upon by the state to do this or that, they’ll say, ‘No, my great-grandfather was summoned in the same way and it ended badly for him. So maybe it’ll end badly for me as well.’”

Dmitriyev shrugged at the subject of his time in prison. “I don’t make a great tragedy out of that year,” he said. “I just think of it as a work trip. I’ve gained a better understanding of what my heroes — the people I dig up and write about — were thinking. They were in the same prison, walked the same halls and were behind the same bars.”

And the tendency for disputes on the Left to become running sores that result in persistent and vicious in-fighting is well-attested by another recent article on the experience of Orwell during the Spanish Civil war when he fought under the flag of the Independent Labour Party rather than that of the Marxists – being branded thereafter as a treacherous Trotskyite rather that a Communist.

Which brings us back to another article by Benedict Cooper.

Orwell and the IL
Independent Labour Party, 15 JUNE 2020
On the 70th anniversary of his death aged 46, Benedict Cooper assesses George Orwell’s relationship with the ILP and its effect on his life, writing and politics.


So began a seismic, formative period for Orwell, one that’s important as much for the idealistic spirit that drew him in, as for the “horrible atmosphere of espionage and political hatred” that, he later wrote, crushed it.

Orwell was willing to fight and die with the ILP and its Spanish ally, the Workers’ Party of Marxist Unification (POUM). But as a contrarian he was never ready to surrender his political, critical independence. “The revolutionary purism of the POUM,” he later wrote, “though I saw its logic, seemed to me rather futile. After all, the one thing that mattered was to win the war.”

The war was not won and the revolution died on the Catalan vine. Six months of mud, blood and mingling with the fractious forces of radical militarism, a “pawn in an enormous struggle”, dragged on. Days and weeks of inertia and tedium pierced by moments of terror, paranoia and betrayal, took their toll.

Just before he and his wife Eileen fled Catalonia, word reached them of the “evil and meaningless death” at the hands of the Soviet secret police of one of Orwell’s most admired comrades, ILP Guild of Youth leader Bob Smillie. That blow was soon followed up by the news that POUM founder Andrés Nin had been captured, brutally tortured and executed by Soviet agents on orders from Stalin. It was over.

As Christopher Hitchens notes in his short essay, ‘Why Orwell Still Matters’, in The Cambridge Companion to George Orwell: “By refusing to agree that Russia was on course for Utopia, Orwell took a position that put him in a very small minority. As a result, he was often defamed and slandered, and very often denied the chance to publish his work either in magazine or book form.”

The taint of his associations in Spain stayed with Orwell for the rest of his life. It cost him friends, comrades and editorial commissions – The New Statesman and the Left Book Club both refused to publish Orwell’s writing from Spain on the spurious grounds that he was consciously working against the Republican popular front.

The slanders against Orwell also cost him, albeit temporarily, his relationship with the publisher who had brought all of his previous works to the world, having first taken a chance on the young writer of Down And Out In Paris And London back in 1932. In a letter to socialist essayist Jack Common in 1937, Orwell sombrely reported: “[Victor] Gollancz won’t have any more to do with me now I am a Trotskyist.”

And so betrayal and duplicity on the Left brought Orwell to see the UK’s resistance to Hitler as the least of unavoidable evils:

“The tempo of events is quickening [towards WW2]; the dangers which once seemed a generation distant are staring us in the face.”

With the forging of an alliance between Hitler and Stalin in August 1939, those dangers took a huge sinister bound closer. The Molotov-Ribbentrop pact ended all hope of world war being avoided. It also marked the end of the road for Orwell and the ILP.

If Orwell had shared the ILP’s compunction of being dragged into war with Hitler, he was sharply opposed to his party’s line about the man whom the Fuhrer had chosen as his ally; the man who had stabbed them in the back in Spain.

“The cynicism and opportunism of the Russo-German pact turned Orwell to support of the war,” Crick notes. “The leaders of the ILP continued to call the war a capitalist-imperialist conspiracy; so Orwell, like many of its rank-and-file, quietly resigned.”

Basically then ‘Trust but Few – and Try to Keep All the Bastards Honest’.

All of which brings us inevitably to one of my poems and a particular illustration of the way in which the animosities between those who fought for the Anarchists [including the ILP] and those who fought for the POUM [the Workers’ Party of Marxist Unification] on the Left in the Spanish Civil War, played out here in New Zealand, as personified by the literary personalities Greville Texidor and Denis Glover.

Greville Texidor: No Love Affair with New Zealand 

[See: ‘In Fifteen Minutes You Can Say a Lot’: Selected Fiction by Greville Texidor edited by Kendrick Smithyman, republished by the Royal New Zealand Foundation of the Blind, 2009]

TAKING A STEAK KNIFE TO DENIS GLOVER
I have a lot of respect for Margaret Foster
Who was born in 1902 in the grimy town of Dudley,
In the heart of the English Midlands ‘Black Country’,
But who ran off as a teenager in hot-blood
To spend two years in the cabaret chorus line
As a Bluebell Girl, traveling the world kicking up the traces –
Later becoming a German contortionist's assistant
And then dancing at the New York Winter Garden
Where she met and married a Spaniard -
Settling first in Buenos Aires and then on the Costa Brava
Where she had a passionate affair with a German anarchist
With both of them then joining an anarchist centuria
Called the ‘Aquilochos’ [or Eagles] of the Corts Tram Depot
Of Barcelona, fighting for the POUM in the Spanish Civil War,
With which she took part in the attack on Almudeva in 1936
Where she almost reached the Fascist trenches
But had to retreat when the Communists failed to provide support -
With she and Werner then organizing camps and relief
For refugee children until they were dismissed by
A communist delegate who did not approve of their politics -
After which they were eventually reunited in England
But interned for their anarchist and German links -
Though they eventually escaped to New Zealand in 1940,
Living in a derelict cottage near Paparoa in Northland
Until the authorities allowed them to move to Auckland
Where they met Frank Sargeson and his writers’ clique,
With him encouraging her to write about her new country
Under a name she concocted from her mother’s family forename
And her first husband’s surname – ‘Greville Texidor’.

Not altogether surprisingly, she was bored and thought that NZ
Seemed a wasteland by comparison with the scenes of her adventures -
A desert of emptiness peopled with men and women
Who were so repressed they could hardly bear to go near one another
And whose existence was so numb, it made existentialism seem positive
With Sargeson commenting diplomatically, that she was:
"unable to establish with this country relations which in any way resembled a love-affair".
But what I like most about her is facing up to Denis Glover, the witty and brilliant
Editor and writer who in addition to also being a notorious misogynist and obnoxious drunk
Was a Communist sympathiser, later awarded the Soviet Union war veterans' medal.
So when, at a North Shore party, the pissed-newt loud-mouth rat-bag taunted GT about the Fascists triumphing under Franco:
‘She took a steak knife and held it to his throat until bystanders could overpower her’
.


Poem first posted 23rd February 2019 by Keith Shorrocks Johnson



Trump said it would be 'Cool to Invade Venezuela': Notions of US White Supremacy stemming back to the Knights of the Golden Circle?

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CONFEDERACY PLANS TO ENSLAVE THE CARIBBEAN AND IMPOSE MONARCHICAL WHITE PROTESTANT SUPREMACY GET A DUST-OVER?

In his recently released book ‘In the Room Where It Happened: A White House Memoir’, John Bolton, US former national security adviser alleges that:
Trump said it would be 'cool' to invade Venezuela because the country is 'really part of the United States'
Sonam Sheth, David Choi, Business Insider, 18 June 2020


Which set me thinking about the Knights of the Golden Circle –  a semi-military secret society that was active in the Midwestern states during the American Civil War. It conspired to annex Mexico, and eventually the countries of the entire rim of the Caribbean, to an independent Confederate South – based on Slavery, Anglo-Protestant White Supremacy and Monarchical Government.

I’ll let the New York Times of 1861 pick up the story here:

THE KNIGHTS OF THE GOLDEN CIRCLE
New York Times, 30 August 1861


Under this head an article appears in the London Spectator, of Aug. 17, which is of especial interest, as the journal in which it appears is well known to be American property and under American inspiration. It has a prominent place among the articles on the leading topics of the day, which forms a conspicuous and valuable feature of the Spectator, and will be read with interest by men of all hues in politics on this side of the Atlantic.

Just before the descent of LOPEZ on Cuba, the American papers were full of allusions to an association called the Order of the Lone Star, said to be organized for the purpose of conquering Cuba and Nicaragua. M. SOULE was said to be its President, and the appointment of that individual as Minister to Madrid was regarded by the Court of Spain, as a wilful discourtesy. LOPEZ himself belonged to the society, and it was from the ranks of the Order that WALKER obtained his most ardent recruits.

After the failure of WALKER's first expedition, the rumors of the society died away, and though its members, under the quaint title of "Precipitators," were supposed to be active in the work of disunion, the society itself, as such, ceased to play any prominent part. The more violent members, however, saw in it a power which might be effectively used, and on the first symptom of the predominance of the Free-Soilers, they organized a new association, under the name of the Knights of the Golden Circle, with new and better defined objects, and an obligation of secrecy.

The secret of the Order, however, has been betrayed during the intestine strife raised by disunion in Kentucky, and the revelation exposes a plot which, for audacity, ability and wickedness, has rarely been surpassed in the long history of conspiracy.

The object of the Order may be briefly stated. It is nothing less than to raise an army of 16,000 men for the conquest of Mexico, and the establishment in that vast Territory of a strongly organized monarchy, resting on a basis of slave institutions. The precise mode of accomplishing this object has already been settled. As soon as the internal warfare is over, all members of the Order, under their secret leaders, are to repair to Guanajuato, with the Governor of which province of Mexico, MICHAEL DOBLADO, the Order has concluded a formal treaty.

By the provisions of this precious document the Governor is to add 16,000 men of his own, and the entire army is to march forward under his command to the permanent subjugation of the country. Means are found from the revenues of the province, and its State property is "mortgagad" for the payment of the soldiery, at one-eighth above the American rates.

To secure the necessary cohesion, the Order has been organized after this fashion. Every applicant for admission is first sworn to secrecy under the penalty of death, and then the design of the Order is revealed. If he assents to its propriety, and is, moreover, an American born, and a slaveowner, or can produce proof that he is imbued with Southern sentiments, and is a Protestant, he is admitted as a soldier of the Order, and informed of its signs, pass-words, and organization.

On the recommendation of the chiefs of the Order he is admitted to the second degree, informed that the stores and ammunition for the Army are collected at Monterey, and acquainted with the names of the officers to whom he is to look for pay. He is also supposed to be on active service, and the President has, we perceive, summoned all Kentuckian members to attend a rendezvous, where they will be drilled and organized by regular instructors, and whence they are, for the present, to control the Kentucky elections in favor of Southern men.

If influential enough, he is next admitted to the third degree, the council of the Order, which under the Presidency of Mr. GEORGE BICKLEY, the future monarch, regulates the affairs of the Order, without communication, except through GEORGE BICKLEY, to the other degrees.

He swears in this degree to obtain all the neophytes he can, to support his colleagues the Knights of the Columbian Star in all efforts for office, to conquer Mexico and "Southernize" its institutions; to drive all free negroes into Mexico, there to be enslaved, and to reduce the peon population of Mexico to slavery, dividing them as chattels among the members of the Order, and to recognize for the present monarchical institutions, as tending to strong government.

Moreover, after the conquest of Mexico, he is to contend for the exclusion of every Roman Catholic from office and from the priesthood, and to support a system of passports enforced by the penalty of death. He again swears to a scheme of government which, from its utter want of resemblance to any American idea, we give entire:

The successor to GEORGE BICKLEY must be over thirty years of age, of Southern birth, liberally educated, Knight of the Columbian Star, sound of body and mind, and married, and Protestant. He shall swear to carry out this policy, and to extend Slavery over the whole of Central America if in his power. He shall try to acquire Cuba and control the Gulf of Mexico. No one else will I sustain.

But for such a one, who must be proposed by the Cabinet Ministers and elected by all Knights of the Star, or a majority of them, I will sustain here, there, or elsewhere. When the Knights cross the Rio Grande, I will do all I can to send in recruits for the Army, and if I should ever cease to be an active worker for the Star, I will keep secret what I know of the real character of the organization, and I promise never to confer this degree in any other way than in the way I have here received it, and I will forward to GEORGE BICKLEY, or to the Governor-General of this State, the name and fees of every candidate whom I shall initiate as Governor. In witness, I do voluntarily, here and in these presences, sign my name and address."

G. W. L. Bickley

He is then informed that Mexico can provide any amount of means, that funds to the extent of a million of dollars are lying at Matamoras, and two millions more at Monterey; that the Governor of Guanajuato is rapidly organizing his province for the reception of the Order, and that the march of the invading Army will commence on the 6th of October, 1861.

It reads, all this, rather like a dream of some mad slaveholder than a grave and definite project, which, nevertheless, we believe it to be. The Order is already powerful in the South, the alliance with the Governor is sufficiently probable, and the whole plan is strictly in accordance with the views known to be entertained by the most prominent slaveholders. Nor is the execution of the plan so difficult as to create any prima facie suspicion of falsehood.

The South is full of men without slaves, with no place in society, and hungry for profitable adventure. They have been accustomed for years to regard the immense republic to their south, with its vast territory, its real and imaginary wealth, its disorganized government, and powerless white population, as a certain and easy prey. The successful annexation of Texas is a proof of what may be accomplished by a few unscrupulous and resolute men, and the laws of the Order tend directly to secure effective cohesion among its members.

Quarreling and seduction are absolutely forbidden, every member is responsible for the orphans of those who fall, and societies released from the law are apt to protect themselves by somewhat effective guarantees for their own extra-legal code. The Order has men at command, so numerous that they are said to be objects of terror in Kentucky, Missouri and Arkansas, and the bribe offered is of stupendous magnitude. It is nothing less than to bestow on 16,000 men a body of slaves equal to the whole slave population of the South, and slaves, too, more easily controlled than the negro race.

To men thirsting for ownership, and convinced that Slavery is lawful, the temptation must be almost irresistible, more especially as every American overrates the case with which Mexico might be subdued. The pure Spaniards and the landed proprietors, utterly weary of anarchy, would probably bail a strong Government of any sort, while the native and quadroon population have never been able to resist the hated and dreaded "North."

Of the awful increase of human misery which would follow the conquest it is unnecessary to speak. Slavery, as it exists, is bad enough, but the deliberate addition of 3,750,000 people and their children forever to the ranks of a slave population, is a crime from which the imagination itself recoils. It seems from its very magnitude impossible.

CORTEZ, however, conquered these people with far inferior means, and there is no evidence that the Mexican peon of to-day is better able to resist a rifleman than his ancestor was to defeat CORTEZ's heavy armed cavalry. The only element of effective resistance would be the religious fanaticism the laws of the Order are so well adapted to arouse.

These laws, however were obviously intended to serve only a temporary purpose, the exclusion of Catholics being rendered essential by their friendly feeling for Mexico. A priest informed of the design in the confessional would be certain to put the Mexicans on their guard, perhaps cause the arrest of the Governor who is so coolly selling his country. Mexico once conquered, the necessity for the restriction would disappear, and though one of the laws of the Order, an obligation to dissolve all monasteries and open all convents, seems dectated by a real religious dislike, it is difficult to believe that it would endure in spite of the political advantage of tolerance.

The whole scheme may be unreal, and the Knights of the Golden Circle as little disposed to fulfill their promises as Masons are to preserve the obligation of Christian brotherhood. But it must not be forgotten that this whatever the truth as to this society, is one of the designs of the South, and that the plan, which thus boldy stated seems incredibly atrocious is part of the permanent policy of the Government which has just won its first battle in front of Manassas Gap.

The design, we fear, if the North succumbs, is at once as possible of execution as it is remorselessly wicked in conception.

LINKS AND COMPLICATIONS

Read more at:

Knights of the Golden Circle
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Lubbock, Thomas Saltus
Thomas W. Cutrer, Texas State Historical Association

Francis Lubbock
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The Texas Rangers’ team name must go
Karen Attiah, Washington Post, 14 July 2020

Well, that’s the problem with objective Historical Research, you never quite know where it will lead going back into the past, or casting a shadow on the present:

Trump it seems would have been at home in the Knights of the Golden Circle and his observation to Bolton on Venezuela appears to betray a strongly Imperialist Mindset with respect to Mexico and the Caribbean countries – and ideas that have a long-established and disgraceful background.

Those of us who have even a whiff of privilege in our backgrounds are highly likely to find through ‘Who Do You Think You Are?’ research that we stub our toes on some unsavoury characters and ideas, especially with regard to slavery.

Thomas Saltus Lubbock and Francis Lubbock, to whom I am very distantly related were tainted by association, not only with Slavery and White Supremacy in the South but also with the wider aims of the Knights of the Golden Circle.

And, as Karen Attiah writes of the relevance of such history to the present [the Texas Rangers and the Knights of the Golden Circle share many features and common origins]:

I grew up in Dallas, raised on myths about Texas Rangers as brave and wholesome guardians of the Texas frontier, helping protect innocent settlers from violent Indians. At church, boys could sign up to be Royal Rangers, the Christian equivalent of the Boy Scouts. I still remember the excitement when Chuck Norris himself, star of the television show “Walker, Texas Ranger,” came to visit my elementary school class.

My dad sometimes took my younger siblings and me to Arlington Stadium to watch the Rangers play. No state mythologizes itself quite like Texas, so of course, it made sense to have a team name that embodied that gauzy, self-regarding history. At the same time, being from a Ghanaian immigrant family, we weren’t that invested in baseball, or the team name. I just liked going because my dad would sometimes let me take sips of his Coca-Cola mixed with beer.

What we didn’t realize at the time was that the Rangers were a cruel, racist force when it came to the nonwhites who inhabited the beautiful and untamed Texas territory. The first job of the Rangers, formed in 1835 after Texas declared independence from Mexico, was to clear the land of Indian for white settlers.

That was just the start. The Rangers oppressed black people, helping capture runaway slaves trying to escape to Mexico; in the aftermath of the Civil War, they killed free blacks with impunity. “The negroes here need killing,” a Ranger wrote in a local newspaper in 1877, after Rangers fired on a party of black former Buffalo soldiers, killing four of them and a 4-year old girl. A jury would later find that the black soldiers “came to their death while resisting officers in the discharge of their duty,” an unsettling echo of the justification for modern-day police killings.

In the early 20th century, Rangers played a key role in some of the worst episodes of racial violence in American history along the Texas-Mexico border. Mexicans were run out of their homes and subject to mass lynchings and shootings. The killings got so out of control that the federal government threatened to intervene.

In his new book, “Cult of Glory: The Bold and Brutal History of the Texas Rangers,” Doug J. Swanson writes, “In service to Anglo civilization’s slow march, they functioned as executioners. Their job was to seize and hold Texas for the white man.”

But Ranger racism is not an artifact of the distant past. Rangers would be called on to protect white supremacy into the 1960s, deployed to prevent school integration. In 1956, when black students were attempting to take classes at all-white Texarkana Junior College, Rangers stood by as the mob attacked them — and threatened to arrest the black students. For their efforts, Swanson writes, they were rewarded with a chicken dinner from the White Citizens’ Council in Texarkana.

In anticipation of controversy from Swanson’s book, Dallas city officials quietly removed a 12-foot-tall statue of Ranger Jay Banks, the commanding officer who oversaw the efforts to prevent school integration, from Love Field airport. Perhaps city officials wanted to avoid the statue becoming a target of protest and heated public dialogue. As it stands now, the fate of the statue, which has been at Love Field since 1963, is uncertain. As a black Texan, I would shed no tears if Banks’s statue stayed locked in a dusty storage unit forever.

And finally I note, with some misgivings, that Bickley's surname almost certainly derives from the village of the same name in South Cheshire - the area where I was born and brought up. 

Six Degrees of Separation? There is really No Separation!

POSTSCRIPT
Albert Pike

... a "blustering blowhard, a feeble poet, a laughable hypocrite, a shameless jingoist, indicted traitor, alleged barbarian, suspected plagiarist, jailbird, a notoriously insubordinate military officer, and yes, a bigot with genocidal inclinations." 


The Albert Pike Memorial is a public artwork in Washington, D.C. honoring Albert Pike (1809–1891), a senior officer of the Confederate States Army as well as a poet, lawyer, and influential figure in the Scottish Rite of freemasonry. Pike is also rumored to have had links to the Knights of the Golden Circle and the Ku Klux Klan.

The memorial, which now only includes the base and Goddess of Masonry sculpture, is sited near the corner of 3rd and D Streets NW in the Judiciary Square neighborhood. The memorial's two bronze figures were sculpted by Gaetano Trentanove, an Italian-American artist responsible for another Washington, D.C. sculptural landmark, the Daniel Webster Memorial. The dedication ceremony in 1901 was attended by thousands of Masons who marched in a celebratory parade.

The memorial is one of 18 Civil War monuments in Washington, D.C., which were collectively listed on the National Register of Historic Places in 1978. The memorial is owned and maintained by the National Park Service, a federal agency of the Interior Department. The Pike statue was the only outdoor sculpture in Washington, D.C. honoring a Confederate general. Though Pike was depicted as a Mason, not a soldier, for decades the memorial often stirred controversy. 

The statue was toppled and burned by protesters in June 2020, as protests continued in response to the killing of George Floyd.

Trump 'Chicken Shit Bone Spur Soup' gets a Promo!

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NOT JUST BEANS – SOUP SANDWICH TOO!

Ivanka Trump's love for Goya beans violates ethics rules, say US rights groups

Donald Trump’s daughter embroiled in endorsement row after calls for boycott of Goya Foods products following CEO’s praise for president
Associated Press, 16 Jul 2020

The White House has defended Ivanka Trump tweeting a photo of herself holding up a can of Goya beans to buck up a Hispanic-owned business that she says has been unfairly treated, arguing she had “every right” to publicly express her support.



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